Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 25, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover limiting further heating. Persistent warm air masses and regional sea surface temperatures support these levels, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 31°C. Trader positioning around these outcomes reflects model consensus and recent observations of stable heat without strong frontal systems or typhoon influences expected to alter the peak. Official measurements from the primary Shanghai station will determine resolution, with minor revisions possible from updated runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
31°C 54%
32°C 38%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
NEW
$22,654 Vol.
NEW
$22,654 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
54%
32°C
38%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 54%
32°C 38%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
NEW
$22,654 Vol.
NEW
$22,654 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$260 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$184 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$184 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$620 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,088 Vol.
1%
30°C
$4,705 Vol.
5%
31°C
$5,603 Vol.
54%
32°C
$3,625 Vol.
38%
33°C
$2,317 Vol.
6%
34°C
$1,306 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$761 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 25, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover limiting further heating. Persistent warm air masses and regional sea surface temperatures support these levels, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 31°C. Trader positioning around these outcomes reflects model consensus and recent observations of stable heat without strong frontal systems or typhoon influences expected to alter the peak. Official measurements from the primary Shanghai station will determine resolution, with minor revisions possible from updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$22,654End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 25, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover limiting further heating. Persistent warm air masses and regional sea surface temperatures support these levels, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 31°C. Trader positioning around these outcomes reflects model consensus and recent observations of stable heat without strong frontal systems or typhoon influences expected to alter the peak. Official measurements from the primary Shanghai station will determine resolution, with minor revisions possible from updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,654End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 25, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover limiting further heating. Persistent warm air masses and regional sea surface temperatures support these levels, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 31°C. Trader positioning around these outcomes reflects model consensus and recent observations of stable heat without strong frontal systems or typhoon influences expected to alter the peak. Official measurements from the primary Shanghai station will determine resolution, with minor revisions possible from updated runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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