Forecast models from sources including GFS ensembles and European agencies project a daytime high near 22–23°C in Munich on August 25 under light winds, with possible early sprinkles and overcast conditions. These factors limit peak solar heating and favor slightly lower maxima around 19–20°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Late-August climatology shows typical highs of 21–23°C, but reduced insolation from clouds can suppress temperatures by 1–3°C compared to clear-sky scenarios. Model spread and timing of any precipitation introduce genuine uncertainty, keeping trader consensus balanced between the leading bins while assigning lower odds to 21°C or warmer. Updated model runs and official DWD guidance ahead of resolution will refine the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 25?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 25?
20°C 24%
19°C 24%
18°C 17.6%
21°C 14%
NEW
$55,865 Vol.
NEW
$55,865 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
18%
19°C
24%
20°C
24%
21°C
14%
22°C
9%
23°C or higher
9%
20°C 24%
19°C 24%
18°C 17.6%
21°C 14%
NEW
$55,865 Vol.
NEW
$55,865 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
13°C or below
$99 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,366 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,940 Vol.
2%
17°C
$3,775 Vol.
8%
18°C
$4,735 Vol.
18%
19°C
$6,974 Vol.
24%
20°C
$8,236 Vol.
24%
21°C
$6,315 Vol.
14%
22°C
$9,080 Vol.
9%
23°C or higher
$10,245 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS ensembles and European agencies project a daytime high near 22–23°C in Munich on August 25 under light winds, with possible early sprinkles and overcast conditions. These factors limit peak solar heating and favor slightly lower maxima around 19–20°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Late-August climatology shows typical highs of 21–23°C, but reduced insolation from clouds can suppress temperatures by 1–3°C compared to clear-sky scenarios. Model spread and timing of any precipitation introduce genuine uncertainty, keeping trader consensus balanced between the leading bins while assigning lower odds to 21°C or warmer. Updated model runs and official DWD guidance ahead of resolution will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$55,865End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS ensembles and European agencies project a daytime high near 22–23°C in Munich on August 25 under light winds, with possible early sprinkles and overcast conditions. These factors limit peak solar heating and favor slightly lower maxima around 19–20°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Late-August climatology shows typical highs of 21–23°C, but reduced insolation from clouds can suppress temperatures by 1–3°C compared to clear-sky scenarios. Model spread and timing of any precipitation introduce genuine uncertainty, keeping trader consensus balanced between the leading bins while assigning lower odds to 21°C or warmer. Updated model runs and official DWD guidance ahead of resolution will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55,865End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS ensembles and European agencies project a daytime high near 22–23°C in Munich on August 25 under light winds, with possible early sprinkles and overcast conditions. These factors limit peak solar heating and favor slightly lower maxima around 19–20°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Late-August climatology shows typical highs of 21–23°C, but reduced insolation from clouds can suppress temperatures by 1–3°C compared to clear-sky scenarios. Model spread and timing of any precipitation introduce genuine uncertainty, keeping trader consensus balanced between the leading bins while assigning lower odds to 21°C or warmer. Updated model runs and official DWD guidance ahead of resolution will refine the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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