Recent forecast updates from models such as GFS indicate Moscow's August 26 daytime high will likely reach 16–17°C under a cooling trend driven by westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and light rain or drizzle. These conditions suppress maxima well below the long-term August average near 21–22°C, positioning 17°C and 16°C as the market leaders at 41.5% and 30.5% implied probability. Official sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and extended outlooks from timeanddate.com and Met Office align with this range, though minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing or precipitation amounts could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders are aggregating these near-term runs, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty as the date approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
17°C 39%
16°C 30%
18°C 15%
15°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
13%
16°C
30%
17°C
39%
18°C
15%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 39%
16°C 30%
18°C 15%
15°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
11°C or below
$224 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$74 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$180 Vol.
2%
14°C
$275 Vol.
4%
15°C
$240 Vol.
13%
16°C
$60 Vol.
30%
17°C
$196 Vol.
39%
18°C
$81 Vol.
15%
19°C
$26 Vol.
4%
20°C
$173 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from models such as GFS indicate Moscow's August 26 daytime high will likely reach 16–17°C under a cooling trend driven by westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and light rain or drizzle. These conditions suppress maxima well below the long-term August average near 21–22°C, positioning 17°C and 16°C as the market leaders at 41.5% and 30.5% implied probability. Official sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and extended outlooks from timeanddate.com and Met Office align with this range, though minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing or precipitation amounts could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders are aggregating these near-term runs, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,535End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from models such as GFS indicate Moscow's August 26 daytime high will likely reach 16–17°C under a cooling trend driven by westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and light rain or drizzle. These conditions suppress maxima well below the long-term August average near 21–22°C, positioning 17°C and 16°C as the market leaders at 41.5% and 30.5% implied probability. Official sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and extended outlooks from timeanddate.com and Met Office align with this range, though minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing or precipitation amounts could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders are aggregating these near-term runs, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,535End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from models such as GFS indicate Moscow's August 26 daytime high will likely reach 16–17°C under a cooling trend driven by westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and light rain or drizzle. These conditions suppress maxima well below the long-term August average near 21–22°C, positioning 17°C and 16°C as the market leaders at 41.5% and 30.5% implied probability. Official sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and extended outlooks from timeanddate.com and Met Office align with this range, though minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing or precipitation amounts could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders are aggregating these near-term runs, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty as the date approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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