Official PAGASA forecasts and supporting model guidance from GFS and other agencies point to a Manila high near 32°C on August 24 under the prevailing southwest monsoon, which sustains high humidity, dew points near 24–26°C, and widespread cloud cover that curbs solar heating. This aligns with typical August climatology of 30–32°C daytime maxima amid frequent showers and thunderstorms across Metro Manila. The market's 100% consensus on 32°C reflects this tight forecast cluster and the monsoon’s established steering pattern. A sudden monsoon break allowing prolonged clear skies or an unexpected drop in rain coverage could push readings higher, while heavier convective activity or measurement timing at the primary station might cap the peak below the threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on August 24?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 24?
32°C 100.0%
$27,347 Vol.
$27,347 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
32°C
100%
32°C 100.0%
$27,347 Vol.
$27,347 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
32°C
$6,161 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts and supporting model guidance from GFS and other agencies point to a Manila high near 32°C on August 24 under the prevailing southwest monsoon, which sustains high humidity, dew points near 24–26°C, and widespread cloud cover that curbs solar heating. This aligns with typical August climatology of 30–32°C daytime maxima amid frequent showers and thunderstorms across Metro Manila. The market's 100% consensus on 32°C reflects this tight forecast cluster and the monsoon’s established steering pattern. A sudden monsoon break allowing prolonged clear skies or an unexpected drop in rain coverage could push readings higher, while heavier convective activity or measurement timing at the primary station might cap the peak below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$27,347End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts and supporting model guidance from GFS and other agencies point to a Manila high near 32°C on August 24 under the prevailing southwest monsoon, which sustains high humidity, dew points near 24–26°C, and widespread cloud cover that curbs solar heating. This aligns with typical August climatology of 30–32°C daytime maxima amid frequent showers and thunderstorms across Metro Manila. The market's 100% consensus on 32°C reflects this tight forecast cluster and the monsoon’s established steering pattern. A sudden monsoon break allowing prolonged clear skies or an unexpected drop in rain coverage could push readings higher, while heavier convective activity or measurement timing at the primary station might cap the peak below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,347End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official PAGASA forecasts and supporting model guidance from GFS and other agencies point to a Manila high near 32°C on August 24 under the prevailing southwest monsoon, which sustains high humidity, dew points near 24–26°C, and widespread cloud cover that curbs solar heating. This aligns with typical August climatology of 30–32°C daytime maxima amid frequent showers and thunderstorms across Metro Manila. The market's 100% consensus on 32°C reflects this tight forecast cluster and the monsoon’s established steering pattern. A sudden monsoon break allowing prolonged clear skies or an unexpected drop in rain coverage could push readings higher, while heavier convective activity or measurement timing at the primary station might cap the peak below the threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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