Persistent high pressure and Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate continue to drive intense daytime heating, with official forecasts and model consensus from sources like the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau pointing to a peak near 36–38°C on August 25 amid mostly sunny conditions and limited afternoon thunderstorm cooling. Recent surface observations showing rapid morning rises toward 34–36°C, combined with typical August baselines of 35–40°C highs and high humidity exceeding 70%, underpin trader focus on the 37–38°C outcomes that together hold over 75% implied probability. Any shift in steering patterns or increased convective activity could cap the maximum, while sustained clear skies would favor the upper end of that range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 25?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 25?
38°C 50%
37°C 30%
39°C 14%
36°C 7%
NEW
$17,997 Vol.
NEW
$17,997 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
7%
37°C
30%
38°C
50%
39°C
14%
40°C or higher
1%
38°C 50%
37°C 30%
39°C 14%
36°C 7%
NEW
$17,997 Vol.
NEW
$17,997 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
$453 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$833 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$924 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,455 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,916 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,750 Vol.
2%
36°C
$1,139 Vol.
7%
37°C
$2,031 Vol.
30%
38°C
$1,849 Vol.
50%
39°C
$3,030 Vol.
14%
40°C or higher
$617 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate continue to drive intense daytime heating, with official forecasts and model consensus from sources like the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau pointing to a peak near 36–38°C on August 25 amid mostly sunny conditions and limited afternoon thunderstorm cooling. Recent surface observations showing rapid morning rises toward 34–36°C, combined with typical August baselines of 35–40°C highs and high humidity exceeding 70%, underpin trader focus on the 37–38°C outcomes that together hold over 75% implied probability. Any shift in steering patterns or increased convective activity could cap the maximum, while sustained clear skies would favor the upper end of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$17,997End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate continue to drive intense daytime heating, with official forecasts and model consensus from sources like the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau pointing to a peak near 36–38°C on August 25 amid mostly sunny conditions and limited afternoon thunderstorm cooling. Recent surface observations showing rapid morning rises toward 34–36°C, combined with typical August baselines of 35–40°C highs and high humidity exceeding 70%, underpin trader focus on the 37–38°C outcomes that together hold over 75% implied probability. Any shift in steering patterns or increased convective activity could cap the maximum, while sustained clear skies would favor the upper end of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,997End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate continue to drive intense daytime heating, with official forecasts and model consensus from sources like the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau pointing to a peak near 36–38°C on August 25 amid mostly sunny conditions and limited afternoon thunderstorm cooling. Recent surface observations showing rapid morning rises toward 34–36°C, combined with typical August baselines of 35–40°C highs and high humidity exceeding 70%, underpin trader focus on the 37–38°C outcomes that together hold over 75% implied probability. Any shift in steering patterns or increased convective activity could cap the maximum, while sustained clear skies would favor the upper end of that range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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