Forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a peak temperature near 21°C in Cape Town on August 25 under clear skies and southerly winds of 8–9 m/s, supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities for 21°C and 22°C. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover will promote daytime heating from overnight lows around 12°C, consistent with late-winter climatology in the region’s Mediterranean regime. Recent surface observations show temperatures climbing steadily through the morning with dew points near 10–11°C and no precipitation expected, though gusty winds could slightly limit the maximum. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of official guidance around 20–21°C against minor model spread for a possible 22°C peak, with resolution hinging on the precise afternoon maximum reported by local stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 25?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 25?
21°C 40%
22°C 30%
20°C 16%
23°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
16%
21°C
40%
22°C
30%
23°C
11%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 40%
22°C 30%
20°C 16%
23°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
$149 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$417 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$252 Vol.
1%
18°C
$279 Vol.
1%
19°C
$612 Vol.
7%
20°C
$985 Vol.
16%
21°C
$659 Vol.
40%
22°C
$625 Vol.
30%
23°C
$581 Vol.
11%
24°C
$306 Vol.
3%
25°C or higher
$102 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a peak temperature near 21°C in Cape Town on August 25 under clear skies and southerly winds of 8–9 m/s, supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities for 21°C and 22°C. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover will promote daytime heating from overnight lows around 12°C, consistent with late-winter climatology in the region’s Mediterranean regime. Recent surface observations show temperatures climbing steadily through the morning with dew points near 10–11°C and no precipitation expected, though gusty winds could slightly limit the maximum. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of official guidance around 20–21°C against minor model spread for a possible 22°C peak, with resolution hinging on the precise afternoon maximum reported by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,968End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a peak temperature near 21°C in Cape Town on August 25 under clear skies and southerly winds of 8–9 m/s, supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities for 21°C and 22°C. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover will promote daytime heating from overnight lows around 12°C, consistent with late-winter climatology in the region’s Mediterranean regime. Recent surface observations show temperatures climbing steadily through the morning with dew points near 10–11°C and no precipitation expected, though gusty winds could slightly limit the maximum. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of official guidance around 20–21°C against minor model spread for a possible 22°C peak, with resolution hinging on the precise afternoon maximum reported by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,968End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a peak temperature near 21°C in Cape Town on August 25 under clear skies and southerly winds of 8–9 m/s, supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities for 21°C and 22°C. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover will promote daytime heating from overnight lows around 12°C, consistent with late-winter climatology in the region’s Mediterranean regime. Recent surface observations show temperatures climbing steadily through the morning with dew points near 10–11°C and no precipitation expected, though gusty winds could slightly limit the maximum. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of official guidance around 20–21°C against minor model spread for a possible 22°C peak, with resolution hinging on the precise afternoon maximum reported by local stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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