Persistent high-pressure ridging over central Texas drove the extreme heat on August 24, 2026, producing observed highs of 103°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and 105°F at Camp Mabry, well above the 96–97°F normal. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 104–105°F outcome, reflecting NOAA station data amid an ongoing multi-week heat wave with minimal cloud cover, southerly flow, and dew points supporting high heat indices. Official National Weather Service summaries confirm these readings with no precipitation to moderate temperatures. Resolution could shift only if the designated station or final quality-controlled data revises the peak by a degree or more, though current observations make such adjustments unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on August 24?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 24?
104-105°F 100.0%
95°F or below <1%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
$26,455 Vol.
$26,455 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
100%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 100.0%
95°F or below <1%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
$26,455 Vol.
$26,455 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
95°F or below
$65 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$163 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$788 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$2,273 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$7,403 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$8,925 Vol.
100%
106-107°F
$3,910 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$1,303 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$1,213 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$222 Vol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$190 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure ridging over central Texas drove the extreme heat on August 24, 2026, producing observed highs of 103°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and 105°F at Camp Mabry, well above the 96–97°F normal. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 104–105°F outcome, reflecting NOAA station data amid an ongoing multi-week heat wave with minimal cloud cover, southerly flow, and dew points supporting high heat indices. Official National Weather Service summaries confirm these readings with no precipitation to moderate temperatures. Resolution could shift only if the designated station or final quality-controlled data revises the peak by a degree or more, though current observations make such adjustments unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$26,455End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure ridging over central Texas drove the extreme heat on August 24, 2026, producing observed highs of 103°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and 105°F at Camp Mabry, well above the 96–97°F normal. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 104–105°F outcome, reflecting NOAA station data amid an ongoing multi-week heat wave with minimal cloud cover, southerly flow, and dew points supporting high heat indices. Official National Weather Service summaries confirm these readings with no precipitation to moderate temperatures. Resolution could shift only if the designated station or final quality-controlled data revises the peak by a degree or more, though current observations make such adjustments unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,455End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure ridging over central Texas drove the extreme heat on August 24, 2026, producing observed highs of 103°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and 105°F at Camp Mabry, well above the 96–97°F normal. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 104–105°F outcome, reflecting NOAA station data amid an ongoing multi-week heat wave with minimal cloud cover, southerly flow, and dew points supporting high heat indices. Official National Weather Service summaries confirm these readings with no precipitation to moderate temperatures. Resolution could shift only if the designated station or final quality-controlled data revises the peak by a degree or more, though current observations make such adjustments unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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