Trader consensus heavily favors a 76-77°F low in Austin on August 24 due to official station observations, such as those from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), recording a minimum of 76°F under persistent high-pressure conditions and clear skies typical of late-summer Texas climatology. Daily averages for the month show overnight lows clustered near 75°F, with minimal diurnal cooling from high humidity and light winds. This aligns closely with National Weather Service summaries and historical August baselines. A realistic challenge would require revised quality-controlled data from primary stations showing a different minimum, such as from microclimate variations or instrumentation adjustments, though such shifts are rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Austin on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 24?
76-77°F 99.6%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$2,817 Vol.
$2,817 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 99.6%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$2,817 Vol.
$2,817 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
73°F or below
$56 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$77 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$161 Vol.
100%
78-79°F
$280 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$336 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$196 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$215 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$340 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$315 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$411 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$430 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 76-77°F low in Austin on August 24 due to official station observations, such as those from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), recording a minimum of 76°F under persistent high-pressure conditions and clear skies typical of late-summer Texas climatology. Daily averages for the month show overnight lows clustered near 75°F, with minimal diurnal cooling from high humidity and light winds. This aligns closely with National Weather Service summaries and historical August baselines. A realistic challenge would require revised quality-controlled data from primary stations showing a different minimum, such as from microclimate variations or instrumentation adjustments, though such shifts are rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,817End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 76-77°F low in Austin on August 24 due to official station observations, such as those from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), recording a minimum of 76°F under persistent high-pressure conditions and clear skies typical of late-summer Texas climatology. Daily averages for the month show overnight lows clustered near 75°F, with minimal diurnal cooling from high humidity and light winds. This aligns closely with National Weather Service summaries and historical August baselines. A realistic challenge would require revised quality-controlled data from primary stations showing a different minimum, such as from microclimate variations or instrumentation adjustments, though such shifts are rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,817End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 76-77°F low in Austin on August 24 due to official station observations, such as those from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), recording a minimum of 76°F under persistent high-pressure conditions and clear skies typical of late-summer Texas climatology. Daily averages for the month show overnight lows clustered near 75°F, with minimal diurnal cooling from high humidity and light winds. This aligns closely with National Weather Service summaries and historical August baselines. A realistic challenge would require revised quality-controlled data from primary stations showing a different minimum, such as from microclimate variations or instrumentation adjustments, though such shifts are rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions