Forecast models from sources including the BBC and regional meteorological services indicate a sunny day with light easterly winds and a maximum near 32°C for Ankara on August 25, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs typically range 30–34°C. Clear skies and minimal precipitation expected support strong daytime heating, though modest variability in boundary-layer moisture or wind could cap the peak at 31°C. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 31°C (68.5%) over 32°C (10.5%) reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance showing possible slight under-forecasting of highs, alongside historical precedent for occasional 1°C shortfalls on similar setups. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
31°C 68%
30°C 24%
32°C 10%
29°C 2%
NEW
$13,693 Vol.
NEW
$13,693 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
24%
31°C
68%
32°C
10%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 68%
30°C 24%
32°C 10%
29°C 2%
NEW
$13,693 Vol.
NEW
$13,693 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$55 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$242 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$543 Vol.
2%
30°C
$3,230 Vol.
24%
31°C
$3,270 Vol.
68%
32°C
$1,388 Vol.
10%
33°C
$548 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$695 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$890 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$2,600 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the BBC and regional meteorological services indicate a sunny day with light easterly winds and a maximum near 32°C for Ankara on August 25, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs typically range 30–34°C. Clear skies and minimal precipitation expected support strong daytime heating, though modest variability in boundary-layer moisture or wind could cap the peak at 31°C. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 31°C (68.5%) over 32°C (10.5%) reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance showing possible slight under-forecasting of highs, alongside historical precedent for occasional 1°C shortfalls on similar setups. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,693End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the BBC and regional meteorological services indicate a sunny day with light easterly winds and a maximum near 32°C for Ankara on August 25, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs typically range 30–34°C. Clear skies and minimal precipitation expected support strong daytime heating, though modest variability in boundary-layer moisture or wind could cap the peak at 31°C. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 31°C (68.5%) over 32°C (10.5%) reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance showing possible slight under-forecasting of highs, alongside historical precedent for occasional 1°C shortfalls on similar setups. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,693End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the BBC and regional meteorological services indicate a sunny day with light easterly winds and a maximum near 32°C for Ankara on August 25, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs typically range 30–34°C. Clear skies and minimal precipitation expected support strong daytime heating, though modest variability in boundary-layer moisture or wind could cap the peak at 31°C. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 31°C (68.5%) over 32°C (10.5%) reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance showing possible slight under-forecasting of highs, alongside historical precedent for occasional 1°C shortfalls on similar setups. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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