**Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong radiative cooling overnight are positioning the lowest temperature in Ankara on August 25 near or slightly below the long-term August average low of ~16–18°C.** Multiple forecast models from sources including PredictWind, Weather25, and Turkish meteorological updates show daytime highs around 31–32°C under sunny conditions, with the minimum expected to occur near dawn at roughly 17–18°C as temperatures fall steadily after sunset amid dew points in the low teens and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors the observed market-implied odds clustering around 15–18°C, as traders weigh the potential for enhanced cooling if winds remain light and humidity stays moderate. No significant frontal systems or moisture are present to limit overnight drops, consistent with the stable high-pressure pattern keeping precipitation chances near zero. Upcoming model updates from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine the exact minimum, but current consensus supports the elevated probabilities for the lower end of the typical range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
15°C or below 34%
16°C 34%
17°C 34%
19°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
34%
16°C
34%
17°C
34%
18°C
34%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
15°C or below 34%
16°C 34%
17°C 34%
19°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
34%
16°C
$0 Vol.
34%
17°C
$0 Vol.
34%
18°C
$3 Vol.
34%
19°C
$342 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$275 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$484 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$615 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong radiative cooling overnight are positioning the lowest temperature in Ankara on August 25 near or slightly below the long-term August average low of ~16–18°C.** Multiple forecast models from sources including PredictWind, Weather25, and Turkish meteorological updates show daytime highs around 31–32°C under sunny conditions, with the minimum expected to occur near dawn at roughly 17–18°C as temperatures fall steadily after sunset amid dew points in the low teens and minimal cloud cover.
This setup favors the observed market-implied odds clustering around 15–18°C, as traders weigh the potential for enhanced cooling if winds remain light and humidity stays moderate. No significant frontal systems or moisture are present to limit overnight drops, consistent with the stable high-pressure pattern keeping precipitation chances near zero. Upcoming model updates from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine the exact minimum, but current consensus supports the elevated probabilities for the lower end of the typical range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,415End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong radiative cooling overnight are positioning the lowest temperature in Ankara on August 25 near or slightly below the long-term August average low of ~16–18°C.** Multiple forecast models from sources including PredictWind, Weather25, and Turkish meteorological updates show daytime highs around 31–32°C under sunny conditions, with the minimum expected to occur near dawn at roughly 17–18°C as temperatures fall steadily after sunset amid dew points in the low teens and minimal cloud cover.
This setup favors the observed market-implied odds clustering around 15–18°C, as traders weigh the potential for enhanced cooling if winds remain light and humidity stays moderate. No significant frontal systems or moisture are present to limit overnight drops, consistent with the stable high-pressure pattern keeping precipitation chances near zero. Upcoming model updates from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine the exact minimum, but current consensus supports the elevated probabilities for the lower end of the typical range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,415End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong radiative cooling overnight are positioning the lowest temperature in Ankara on August 25 near or slightly below the long-term August average low of ~16–18°C.** Multiple forecast models from sources including PredictWind, Weather25, and Turkish meteorological updates show daytime highs around 31–32°C under sunny conditions, with the minimum expected to occur near dawn at roughly 17–18°C as temperatures fall steadily after sunset amid dew points in the low teens and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors the observed market-implied odds clustering around 15–18°C, as traders weigh the potential for enhanced cooling if winds remain light and humidity stays moderate. No significant frontal systems or moisture are present to limit overnight drops, consistent with the stable high-pressure pattern keeping precipitation chances near zero. Upcoming model updates from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine the exact minimum, but current consensus supports the elevated probabilities for the lower end of the typical range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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