**Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and major models indicate an overnight minimum near 26°C for Taipei on August 26, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Historical averages place late-August lows at 25–26°C, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 25–27°C outcomes amid model consensus on partly cloudy skies and light winds. Key variables differentiating the narrow range include the extent of overnight cloud breaks, which could permit additional cooling to 25°C or below if clearer intervals develop, versus sustained moisture and cloudiness holding the minimum at 27°C. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on August 26?
26°C 40%
25°C 37%
28°C 21%
27°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
11%
22°C
6%
23°C
13%
24°C
17%
25°C
32%
26°C
40%
27°C
21%
28°C
21%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 40%
25°C 37%
28°C 21%
27°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
$135 Vol.
2%
21°C
$5 Vol.
11%
22°C
$0 Vol.
6%
23°C
$10 Vol.
13%
24°C
$0 Vol.
17%
25°C
$5 Vol.
32%
26°C
$0 Vol.
40%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$20 Vol.
21%
29°C
$10 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and major models indicate an overnight minimum near 26°C for Taipei on August 26, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Historical averages place late-August lows at 25–26°C, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 25–27°C outcomes amid model consensus on partly cloudy skies and light winds. Key variables differentiating the narrow range include the extent of overnight cloud breaks, which could permit additional cooling to 25°C or below if clearer intervals develop, versus sustained moisture and cloudiness holding the minimum at 27°C. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$185End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and major models indicate an overnight minimum near 26°C for Taipei on August 26, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Historical averages place late-August lows at 25–26°C, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 25–27°C outcomes amid model consensus on partly cloudy skies and light winds. Key variables differentiating the narrow range include the extent of overnight cloud breaks, which could permit additional cooling to 25°C or below if clearer intervals develop, versus sustained moisture and cloudiness holding the minimum at 27°C. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$185End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and major models indicate an overnight minimum near 26°C for Taipei on August 26, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Historical averages place late-August lows at 25–26°C, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 25–27°C outcomes amid model consensus on partly cloudy skies and light winds. Key variables differentiating the narrow range include the extent of overnight cloud breaks, which could permit additional cooling to 25°C or below if clearer intervals develop, versus sustained moisture and cloudiness holding the minimum at 27°C. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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