Recent forecasts from sources including the National Center for Meteorology and Met Office indicate minimum temperatures in Jeddah on August 26 likely ranging 30–32°C, driven by above-normal seasonal warmth across Saudi Arabia and typical Red Sea coastal humidity that limits overnight cooling. Model consensus shows stable high-pressure patterns with light winds, maintaining elevated dew points near 23–25°C and preventing sharper drops. Historical August averages near 27–28°C contrast with current outlooks trending 2–4°C warmer, narrowing odds around 31–32°C while leaving room for minor model revisions from updated runs. The market’s clustered probabilities reflect this short-term uncertainty two days before resolution, with traders weighting official guidance on thermal inertia and lack of cooling advection.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on August 26?
32°C 49%
28°C 36%
33°C 28%
31°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
11%
26°C
9%
27°C
10%
28°C
36%
29°C
22%
30°C
22%
31°C
27%
32°C
32%
33°C
28%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 49%
28°C 36%
33°C 28%
31°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
$135 Vol.
11%
26°C
$5 Vol.
9%
27°C
$5 Vol.
10%
28°C
$75 Vol.
36%
29°C
$0 Vol.
22%
30°C
$0 Vol.
22%
31°C
$0 Vol.
27%
32°C
$49 Vol.
32%
33°C
$0 Vol.
28%
34°C
$10 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$6 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the National Center for Meteorology and Met Office indicate minimum temperatures in Jeddah on August 26 likely ranging 30–32°C, driven by above-normal seasonal warmth across Saudi Arabia and typical Red Sea coastal humidity that limits overnight cooling. Model consensus shows stable high-pressure patterns with light winds, maintaining elevated dew points near 23–25°C and preventing sharper drops. Historical August averages near 27–28°C contrast with current outlooks trending 2–4°C warmer, narrowing odds around 31–32°C while leaving room for minor model revisions from updated runs. The market’s clustered probabilities reflect this short-term uncertainty two days before resolution, with traders weighting official guidance on thermal inertia and lack of cooling advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$285End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the National Center for Meteorology and Met Office indicate minimum temperatures in Jeddah on August 26 likely ranging 30–32°C, driven by above-normal seasonal warmth across Saudi Arabia and typical Red Sea coastal humidity that limits overnight cooling. Model consensus shows stable high-pressure patterns with light winds, maintaining elevated dew points near 23–25°C and preventing sharper drops. Historical August averages near 27–28°C contrast with current outlooks trending 2–4°C warmer, narrowing odds around 31–32°C while leaving room for minor model revisions from updated runs. The market’s clustered probabilities reflect this short-term uncertainty two days before resolution, with traders weighting official guidance on thermal inertia and lack of cooling advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$285End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the National Center for Meteorology and Met Office indicate minimum temperatures in Jeddah on August 26 likely ranging 30–32°C, driven by above-normal seasonal warmth across Saudi Arabia and typical Red Sea coastal humidity that limits overnight cooling. Model consensus shows stable high-pressure patterns with light winds, maintaining elevated dew points near 23–25°C and preventing sharper drops. Historical August averages near 27–28°C contrast with current outlooks trending 2–4°C warmer, narrowing odds around 31–32°C while leaving room for minor model revisions from updated runs. The market’s clustered probabilities reflect this short-term uncertainty two days before resolution, with traders weighting official guidance on thermal inertia and lack of cooling advection.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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