Forecast models indicate Jeddah's August 25 minimum will likely fall between 29–32°C amid typical late-summer conditions, with traders assigning near-equal probabilities across this narrow band. Persistent high humidity from Red Sea maritime air, combined with moderate northwesterly winds and limited cloud cover, restricts nocturnal radiative cooling and keeps overnight lows elevated compared to drier inland sites. Sea-surface temperatures near 31°C further moderate extremes through onshore flow and sea-breeze circulation. Small differences in forecast humidity, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing among models explain the tight clustering, while historical August lows averaging 27–30°C provide climatological context. Final NHC-style regional updates and surface observations tonight will likely determine the precise value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on August 25?
29°C 34%
30°C 34%
31°C 34%
32°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
24°C or below
19%
25°C
32%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
34%
30°C
34%
31°C
34%
32°C
34%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 34%
31°C 34%
32°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
24°C or below
$150 Vol.
19%
25°C
$293 Vol.
32%
26°C
$75 Vol.
6%
27°C
$79 Vol.
3%
28°C
$74 Vol.
2%
29°C
$10 Vol.
34%
30°C
$0 Vol.
34%
31°C
$0 Vol.
34%
32°C
$5 Vol.
34%
33°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$315 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate Jeddah's August 25 minimum will likely fall between 29–32°C amid typical late-summer conditions, with traders assigning near-equal probabilities across this narrow band. Persistent high humidity from Red Sea maritime air, combined with moderate northwesterly winds and limited cloud cover, restricts nocturnal radiative cooling and keeps overnight lows elevated compared to drier inland sites. Sea-surface temperatures near 31°C further moderate extremes through onshore flow and sea-breeze circulation. Small differences in forecast humidity, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing among models explain the tight clustering, while historical August lows averaging 27–30°C provide climatological context. Final NHC-style regional updates and surface observations tonight will likely determine the precise value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,277End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate Jeddah's August 25 minimum will likely fall between 29–32°C amid typical late-summer conditions, with traders assigning near-equal probabilities across this narrow band. Persistent high humidity from Red Sea maritime air, combined with moderate northwesterly winds and limited cloud cover, restricts nocturnal radiative cooling and keeps overnight lows elevated compared to drier inland sites. Sea-surface temperatures near 31°C further moderate extremes through onshore flow and sea-breeze circulation. Small differences in forecast humidity, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing among models explain the tight clustering, while historical August lows averaging 27–30°C provide climatological context. Final NHC-style regional updates and surface observations tonight will likely determine the precise value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,277End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models indicate Jeddah's August 25 minimum will likely fall between 29–32°C amid typical late-summer conditions, with traders assigning near-equal probabilities across this narrow band. Persistent high humidity from Red Sea maritime air, combined with moderate northwesterly winds and limited cloud cover, restricts nocturnal radiative cooling and keeps overnight lows elevated compared to drier inland sites. Sea-surface temperatures near 31°C further moderate extremes through onshore flow and sea-breeze circulation. Small differences in forecast humidity, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing among models explain the tight clustering, while historical August lows averaging 27–30°C provide climatological context. Final NHC-style regional updates and surface observations tonight will likely determine the precise value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions