Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicates a likely minimum temperature near 24–25°C in Busan on August 26, driven by typical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover reducing overnight radiative cooling. Coastal location along the Korea Strait adds marine influence that tempers extremes compared to inland areas, while any scattered showers could slightly elevate the low. Historical August baselines show daily minima averaging 23–25°C, creating tight uncertainty bands that explain the clustered market-implied odds around 24°C and adjacent thresholds. New observational data and updated runs tonight will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Busan on August 26?
22°C or below 66%
32°C or higher 66%
25°C 32%
26°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
66%
23°C
16%
24°C
41%
25°C
32%
26°C
27%
27°C
22%
28°C
27%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
66%
22°C or below 66%
32°C or higher 66%
25°C 32%
26°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$151 Vol.
66%
23°C
$10 Vol.
16%
24°C
$42 Vol.
41%
25°C
$0 Vol.
32%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$5 Vol.
27%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$135 Vol.
7%
31°C
$5 Vol.
7%
32°C or higher
$135 Vol.
66%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicates a likely minimum temperature near 24–25°C in Busan on August 26, driven by typical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover reducing overnight radiative cooling. Coastal location along the Korea Strait adds marine influence that tempers extremes compared to inland areas, while any scattered showers could slightly elevate the low. Historical August baselines show daily minima averaging 23–25°C, creating tight uncertainty bands that explain the clustered market-implied odds around 24°C and adjacent thresholds. New observational data and updated runs tonight will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$483End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicates a likely minimum temperature near 24–25°C in Busan on August 26, driven by typical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover reducing overnight radiative cooling. Coastal location along the Korea Strait adds marine influence that tempers extremes compared to inland areas, while any scattered showers could slightly elevate the low. Historical August baselines show daily minima averaging 23–25°C, creating tight uncertainty bands that explain the clustered market-implied odds around 24°C and adjacent thresholds. New observational data and updated runs tonight will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$483End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicates a likely minimum temperature near 24–25°C in Busan on August 26, driven by typical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover reducing overnight radiative cooling. Coastal location along the Korea Strait adds marine influence that tempers extremes compared to inland areas, while any scattered showers could slightly elevate the low. Historical August baselines show daily minima averaging 23–25°C, creating tight uncertainty bands that explain the clustered market-implied odds around 24°C and adjacent thresholds. New observational data and updated runs tonight will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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