Recent forecasts from multiple agencies indicate Busan’s overnight low on August 25 will settle near 25–27 °C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Model consensus points to a minimum around 26 °C as the most probable outcome, consistent with late-summer climatology where urban heat retention and marine influence keep nighttime temperatures elevated. Earlier heat-wave conditions earlier in the month raised baseline warmth, while the absence of a strong frontal passage or clear-sky radiative cooling event supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 26 °C. Updated guidance through the evening will determine whether the reading edges toward 25 °C or holds near 27 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on August 25?
23°C 55%
24°C 21%
25°C 2%
22°C <1%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
55%
24°C
21%
25°C
19%
26°C
69%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 55%
24°C 21%
25°C 2%
22°C <1%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
55%
24°C
21%
25°C
19%
26°C
69%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple agencies indicate Busan’s overnight low on August 25 will settle near 25–27 °C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Model consensus points to a minimum around 26 °C as the most probable outcome, consistent with late-summer climatology where urban heat retention and marine influence keep nighttime temperatures elevated. Earlier heat-wave conditions earlier in the month raised baseline warmth, while the absence of a strong frontal passage or clear-sky radiative cooling event supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 26 °C. Updated guidance through the evening will determine whether the reading edges toward 25 °C or holds near 27 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions