**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum temperature for Ankara on August 26 around 17–19°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry conditions.** Model consensus from agencies and services such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service, PredictWind, and others points to radiational cooling overnight after daytime highs near 32–34°C, with dew points supporting moderate humidity levels that could moderate the exact low. Trader sentiment remains tightly clustered between 13°C or below (44.0%) and 15°C (44.5%), with 14°C close behind, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise nighttime minimum rather than a strong directional bias. Key differentiating factors include small variations in forecast cloud cover, wind speed (which affects mixing and cooling efficiency), and local microclimate effects at official measurement stations. Historical climatology for late August shows typical lows near 13–16°C, providing a baseline that keeps lower outcomes viable if cooling exceeds current guidance. Upcoming model runs and updated guidance from regional forecasting centers will likely refine the expected range, as even modest shifts in timing or moisture can alter the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. This skin-in-the-game market consensus captures the inherent spread in numerical weather prediction outputs for a near-term event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 26?
15°C 44%
14°C 44%
13°C or below 42%
18°C 37%
13°C or below
42%
14°C
44%
15°C
44%
16°C
27%
17°C
33%
18°C
37%
19°C
30%
20°C
11%
21°C
10%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
15°C 44%
14°C 44%
13°C or below 42%
18°C 37%
13°C or below
42%
14°C
44%
15°C
44%
16°C
27%
17°C
33%
18°C
37%
19°C
30%
20°C
11%
21°C
10%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum temperature for Ankara on August 26 around 17–19°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry conditions.** Model consensus from agencies and services such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service, PredictWind, and others points to radiational cooling overnight after daytime highs near 32–34°C, with dew points supporting moderate humidity levels that could moderate the exact low. Trader sentiment remains tightly clustered between 13°C or below (44.0%) and 15°C (44.5%), with 14°C close behind, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise nighttime minimum rather than a strong directional bias. Key differentiating factors include small variations in forecast cloud cover, wind speed (which affects mixing and cooling efficiency), and local microclimate effects at official measurement stations. Historical climatology for late August shows typical lows near 13–16°C, providing a baseline that keeps lower outcomes viable if cooling exceeds current guidance. Upcoming model runs and updated guidance from regional forecasting centers will likely refine the expected range, as even modest shifts in timing or moisture can alter the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. This skin-in-the-game market consensus captures the inherent spread in numerical weather prediction outputs for a near-term event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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