Persistent late-summer heat under Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, combined with a yellow high-temperature warning and urban heat-island effects, underpins the market's 100% consensus on a daily maximum of 37 °C or higher. Official guidance from the Wuhan Meteorological Station and model runs indicate strong daytime insolation, high humidity near 60–70%, and light northeasterly winds that allow surface temperatures to climb, consistent with August climatology where maxima frequently reach 35–40 °C. Traders price in these conditions as the primary driver while noting realistic downside risks: increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, or earlier-than-expected rain could cap readings below the threshold by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing solar heating. Updated model outputs and local observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
37°C or higher 100.0%
$27,205 Vol.
$27,205 Vol.
37°C or higher
100%
37°C or higher 100.0%
$27,205 Vol.
$27,205 Vol.
37°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent late-summer heat under Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, combined with a yellow high-temperature warning and urban heat-island effects, underpins the market's 100% consensus on a daily maximum of 37 °C or higher. Official guidance from the Wuhan Meteorological Station and model runs indicate strong daytime insolation, high humidity near 60–70%, and light northeasterly winds that allow surface temperatures to climb, consistent with August climatology where maxima frequently reach 35–40 °C. Traders price in these conditions as the primary driver while noting realistic downside risks: increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, or earlier-than-expected rain could cap readings below the threshold by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing solar heating. Updated model outputs and local observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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