Recent forecasts from Indian Meteorological Department models and international ensembles point to a maximum of 31–32°C in Lucknow on August 25 as the most probable outcome, reflecting active monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit surface heating. High relative humidity near 80% and light variable winds further moderate daytime peaks, consistent with typical late-August climatology when the monsoon trough influences the Gangetic plains. Traders’ close clustering around 30–32°C captures the narrow uncertainty band arising from model spread on exact rainfall timing and intensity, with official IMD station readings serving as the resolution source. Updated short-range guidance expected later today could refine these odds ahead of evening observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 25?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 25?
31°C 32%
30°C 26%
32°C 22%
33°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
26%
31°C
32%
32°C
22%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 32%
30°C 26%
32°C 22%
33°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
27°C or below
$555 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$179 Vol.
1%
29°C
$188 Vol.
8%
30°C
$672 Vol.
26%
31°C
$1,490 Vol.
32%
32°C
$463 Vol.
22%
33°C
$284 Vol.
10%
34°C
$443 Vol.
2%
35°C
$213 Vol.
1%
36°C
$328 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$268 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Indian Meteorological Department models and international ensembles point to a maximum of 31–32°C in Lucknow on August 25 as the most probable outcome, reflecting active monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit surface heating. High relative humidity near 80% and light variable winds further moderate daytime peaks, consistent with typical late-August climatology when the monsoon trough influences the Gangetic plains. Traders’ close clustering around 30–32°C captures the narrow uncertainty band arising from model spread on exact rainfall timing and intensity, with official IMD station readings serving as the resolution source. Updated short-range guidance expected later today could refine these odds ahead of evening observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,084End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Indian Meteorological Department models and international ensembles point to a maximum of 31–32°C in Lucknow on August 25 as the most probable outcome, reflecting active monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit surface heating. High relative humidity near 80% and light variable winds further moderate daytime peaks, consistent with typical late-August climatology when the monsoon trough influences the Gangetic plains. Traders’ close clustering around 30–32°C captures the narrow uncertainty band arising from model spread on exact rainfall timing and intensity, with official IMD station readings serving as the resolution source. Updated short-range guidance expected later today could refine these odds ahead of evening observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,084End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Indian Meteorological Department models and international ensembles point to a maximum of 31–32°C in Lucknow on August 25 as the most probable outcome, reflecting active monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit surface heating. High relative humidity near 80% and light variable winds further moderate daytime peaks, consistent with typical late-August climatology when the monsoon trough influences the Gangetic plains. Traders’ close clustering around 30–32°C captures the narrow uncertainty band arising from model spread on exact rainfall timing and intensity, with official IMD station readings serving as the resolution source. Updated short-range guidance expected later today could refine these odds ahead of evening observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions