Recent forecasts for Kuala Lumpur on August 25 indicate scattered thundershowers and widespread cloud cover driven by equatorial convection during the southwest monsoon, which typically limits peak solar heating and caps daytime maxima near 32–33°C. High atmospheric humidity and frequent convective activity enhance evaporative cooling and reduce surface temperature buildup, while steering patterns favor afternoon storm development that further moderates extremes. These conditions align with climatological averages for late August and explain the tight market split between the 33°C (42%) and 32°C (34%) outcomes, with lower probabilities for hotter or cooler thresholds reflecting model consensus and the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance. Updated model runs and any shifts in storm timing or intensity could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 25?
33°C 40%
32°C 34%
31°C 14%
34°C 9%
$32,685 Vol.
$32,685 Vol.
29°C or below
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
34%
33°C
40%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 40%
32°C 34%
31°C 14%
34°C 9%
$32,685 Vol.
$32,685 Vol.
29°C or below
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
34%
33°C
40%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Kuala Lumpur on August 25 indicate scattered thundershowers and widespread cloud cover driven by equatorial convection during the southwest monsoon, which typically limits peak solar heating and caps daytime maxima near 32–33°C. High atmospheric humidity and frequent convective activity enhance evaporative cooling and reduce surface temperature buildup, while steering patterns favor afternoon storm development that further moderates extremes. These conditions align with climatological averages for late August and explain the tight market split between the 33°C (42%) and 32°C (34%) outcomes, with lower probabilities for hotter or cooler thresholds reflecting model consensus and the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance. Updated model runs and any shifts in storm timing or intensity could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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