Recent atmospheric conditions in Kuala Lumpur, including elevated humidity and persistent cloud cover typical of the southwest monsoon transition, have limited nocturnal radiative cooling and positioned 26°C as the market-implied favorite for the daily minimum. Equatorial stability and the urban heat island effect further support overnight lows near or above 25°C, consistent with August climatology where average minima range 23–25°C. Official forecasts from regional models show little deviation through the current 24-hour period, with no incoming frontal systems or clear-sky episodes expected to drive sharper drops. Traders' strong preference for 26°C over 25°C or lower reflects observed data from recent days showing minima clustered in this range, though model spread introduces modest uncertainty around exact resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 25?
24°C 48%
23°C 14%
22°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
14%
24°C
48%
25°C
34%
26°C
60%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 48%
23°C 14%
22°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
14%
24°C
48%
25°C
34%
26°C
60%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric conditions in Kuala Lumpur, including elevated humidity and persistent cloud cover typical of the southwest monsoon transition, have limited nocturnal radiative cooling and positioned 26°C as the market-implied favorite for the daily minimum. Equatorial stability and the urban heat island effect further support overnight lows near or above 25°C, consistent with August climatology where average minima range 23–25°C. Official forecasts from regional models show little deviation through the current 24-hour period, with no incoming frontal systems or clear-sky episodes expected to drive sharper drops. Traders' strong preference for 26°C over 25°C or lower reflects observed data from recent days showing minima clustered in this range, though model spread introduces modest uncertainty around exact resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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