Forecast models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international sources converge on a peak temperature near 32°C for Karachi on August 26, 2026, reflecting typical late-monsoon conditions with moderate humidity, scattered cloud cover, and sea-breeze influences from the Arabian Sea that limit daytime heating. Historical August averages hover around 31–33°C, with recent observations showing highs in this range amid below-normal temperatures in parts of Sindh. Trader emphasis on the 32°C outcome aligns with these stable patterns and limited intensification potential from current atmospheric setups, though any shift in monsoon rainfall or wind patterns could adjust final readings within the narrow 31–33°C window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 26?
32°C 50%
31°C 20%
33°C 19%
30°C 6.7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
20%
32°C
50%
33°C
19%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 50%
31°C 20%
33°C 19%
30°C 6.7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
20%
32°C
50%
33°C
19%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international sources converge on a peak temperature near 32°C for Karachi on August 26, 2026, reflecting typical late-monsoon conditions with moderate humidity, scattered cloud cover, and sea-breeze influences from the Arabian Sea that limit daytime heating. Historical August averages hover around 31–33°C, with recent observations showing highs in this range amid below-normal temperatures in parts of Sindh. Trader emphasis on the 32°C outcome aligns with these stable patterns and limited intensification potential from current atmospheric setups, though any shift in monsoon rainfall or wind patterns could adjust final readings within the narrow 31–33°C window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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