Forecast models from agencies including the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international sources project a daytime high of 33–35°C for August 25 in Jinan, driven by persistent warm southerly flow, high humidity, and limited cloud cover typical of late-summer conditions in Shandong. This aligns with August climatology, where average highs reach ~31°C and recent days have already exceeded 34°C. The 99.6% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this robust consensus across ensemble runs, with only minimal precipitation expected to moderate temperatures slightly. A realistic shift below the threshold would require an unanticipated cold front or major model error, both improbable within 24 hours given stable steering patterns and current observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on August 25?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 25?
26°C or higher 99.6%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.6%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
16°C or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,312 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,470 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international sources project a daytime high of 33–35°C for August 25 in Jinan, driven by persistent warm southerly flow, high humidity, and limited cloud cover typical of late-summer conditions in Shandong. This aligns with August climatology, where average highs reach ~31°C and recent days have already exceeded 34°C. The 99.6% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this robust consensus across ensemble runs, with only minimal precipitation expected to moderate temperatures slightly. A realistic shift below the threshold would require an unanticipated cold front or major model error, both improbable within 24 hours given stable steering patterns and current observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$4,475End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international sources project a daytime high of 33–35°C for August 25 in Jinan, driven by persistent warm southerly flow, high humidity, and limited cloud cover typical of late-summer conditions in Shandong. This aligns with August climatology, where average highs reach ~31°C and recent days have already exceeded 34°C. The 99.6% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this robust consensus across ensemble runs, with only minimal precipitation expected to moderate temperatures slightly. A realistic shift below the threshold would require an unanticipated cold front or major model error, both improbable within 24 hours given stable steering patterns and current observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,475End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international sources project a daytime high of 33–35°C for August 25 in Jinan, driven by persistent warm southerly flow, high humidity, and limited cloud cover typical of late-summer conditions in Shandong. This aligns with August climatology, where average highs reach ~31°C and recent days have already exceeded 34°C. The 99.6% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this robust consensus across ensemble runs, with only minimal precipitation expected to moderate temperatures slightly. A realistic shift below the threshold would require an unanticipated cold front or major model error, both improbable within 24 hours given stable steering patterns and current observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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