Trader consensus has converged on an 18°C high for Helsinki on August 24 because multiple forecast models, including GFS runs and Met Office guidance, consistently project a maximum near that value under stable high pressure with light northwesterly flow. Afternoon readings are expected to peak around 17–19°C amid partly cloudy skies and minimal advection of warmer air, aligning with slightly below-normal late-August conditions for the region. This positioning reflects real-time observational updates and model agreement through the peak heating window. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day warm surge or localized measurement anomaly exceeding the forecast envelope, though current atmospheric stability makes such a shift improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 24?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
$36,482 Vol.
$36,482 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
18°C
100%
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
$36,482 Vol.
$36,482 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
18°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has converged on an 18°C high for Helsinki on August 24 because multiple forecast models, including GFS runs and Met Office guidance, consistently project a maximum near that value under stable high pressure with light northwesterly flow. Afternoon readings are expected to peak around 17–19°C amid partly cloudy skies and minimal advection of warmer air, aligning with slightly below-normal late-August conditions for the region. This positioning reflects real-time observational updates and model agreement through the peak heating window. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day warm surge or localized measurement anomaly exceeding the forecast envelope, though current atmospheric stability makes such a shift improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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