Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and global models indicate a high of 32–34°C on August 26, with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 65–70%, and increased cloud cover expected to limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum. This late-August timing, just after the end of the “fu” period, aligns with climatological trends of moderating temperatures and rising precipitation chances that often prevent extremes above 35°C. Trader sentiment remains split, with substantial implied probability on 36°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in model spread and the potential for brief clear periods to allow greater warming. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will be key resolution drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 26?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 26?
36°C 32%
37°C or higher 25%
35°C 24%
34°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
6%
34°C
11%
35°C
24%
36°C
32%
37°C or higher
25%
36°C 32%
37°C or higher 25%
35°C 24%
34°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
27°C or below
$264 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$274 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$190 Vol.
2%
30°C
$383 Vol.
2%
31°C
$489 Vol.
2%
32°C
$852 Vol.
3%
33°C
$491 Vol.
6%
34°C
$563 Vol.
11%
35°C
$894 Vol.
24%
36°C
$452 Vol.
32%
37°C or higher
$1,217 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and global models indicate a high of 32–34°C on August 26, with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 65–70%, and increased cloud cover expected to limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum. This late-August timing, just after the end of the “fu” period, aligns with climatological trends of moderating temperatures and rising precipitation chances that often prevent extremes above 35°C. Trader sentiment remains split, with substantial implied probability on 36°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in model spread and the potential for brief clear periods to allow greater warming. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will be key resolution drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$6,068End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and global models indicate a high of 32–34°C on August 26, with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 65–70%, and increased cloud cover expected to limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum. This late-August timing, just after the end of the “fu” period, aligns with climatological trends of moderating temperatures and rising precipitation chances that often prevent extremes above 35°C. Trader sentiment remains split, with substantial implied probability on 36°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in model spread and the potential for brief clear periods to allow greater warming. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will be key resolution drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,068End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and global models indicate a high of 32–34°C on August 26, with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 65–70%, and increased cloud cover expected to limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum. This late-August timing, just after the end of the “fu” period, aligns with climatological trends of moderating temperatures and rising precipitation chances that often prevent extremes above 35°C. Trader sentiment remains split, with substantial implied probability on 36°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in model spread and the potential for brief clear periods to allow greater warming. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will be key resolution drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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