Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate highs near 31–35°C for Busan on August 26 under persistent North Pacific high pressure, with mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and low precipitation chances supporting elevated temperatures amid an ongoing regional heat wave. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 35°C and 29% for 36°C, aligns with this consensus range and historical late-August precedents for Busan exceeding 33°C during similar subtropical ridge setups, while lower probabilities for 37°C+ or sub-34°C outcomes account for potential model spread or minor cooling from coastal influences. Key resolution thresholds will depend on official station observations, with updated short-range guidance expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 26?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 26?
35°C 44%
36°C 26%
34°C 19%
37°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
19%
35°C
44%
36°C
26%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 44%
36°C 26%
34°C 19%
37°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
$365 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$375 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$109 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$15 Vol.
1%
32°C
$155 Vol.
1%
33°C
$204 Vol.
5%
34°C
$516 Vol.
19%
35°C
$1,069 Vol.
44%
36°C
$122 Vol.
26%
37°C
$817 Vol.
8%
38°C or higher
$73 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate highs near 31–35°C for Busan on August 26 under persistent North Pacific high pressure, with mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and low precipitation chances supporting elevated temperatures amid an ongoing regional heat wave. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 35°C and 29% for 36°C, aligns with this consensus range and historical late-August precedents for Busan exceeding 33°C during similar subtropical ridge setups, while lower probabilities for 37°C+ or sub-34°C outcomes account for potential model spread or minor cooling from coastal influences. Key resolution thresholds will depend on official station observations, with updated short-range guidance expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,820End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate highs near 31–35°C for Busan on August 26 under persistent North Pacific high pressure, with mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and low precipitation chances supporting elevated temperatures amid an ongoing regional heat wave. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 35°C and 29% for 36°C, aligns with this consensus range and historical late-August precedents for Busan exceeding 33°C during similar subtropical ridge setups, while lower probabilities for 37°C+ or sub-34°C outcomes account for potential model spread or minor cooling from coastal influences. Key resolution thresholds will depend on official station observations, with updated short-range guidance expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,820End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate highs near 31–35°C for Busan on August 26 under persistent North Pacific high pressure, with mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and low precipitation chances supporting elevated temperatures amid an ongoing regional heat wave. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 35°C and 29% for 36°C, aligns with this consensus range and historical late-August precedents for Busan exceeding 33°C during similar subtropical ridge setups, while lower probabilities for 37°C+ or sub-34°C outcomes account for potential model spread or minor cooling from coastal influences. Key resolution thresholds will depend on official station observations, with updated short-range guidance expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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