**Persistent North Pacific high pressure is sustaining above-average heat across southern South Korea, positioning 34–36°C as the most likely peak for Busan on August 26, 2026.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate daytime maxima of 33–36°C under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and low precipitation chances, allowing strong solar heating amid high humidity. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 35°C (43.5%) and 36°C (25.5%), as recent observations show daily highs running 3–6°C above the late-August climatological norm of ~29–30°C due to the same subtropical ridge. No significant cooling mechanisms—such as frontal passages, typhoon influences, or increased cloud cover—are expected before resolution, though model spread and minor timing shifts in any scattered showers could nudge the exact peak by 1°C. Traders are weighting the current heat-wave conditions and stable synoptic pattern heavily, with limited upside risk above 37°C given the forecast envelope.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 26?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 26?
35°C 46%
36°C 26%
34°C 19%
37°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
19%
35°C
46%
36°C
26%
37°C
7%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 46%
36°C 26%
34°C 19%
37°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
$365 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$375 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$109 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$15 Vol.
1%
32°C
$155 Vol.
1%
33°C
$275 Vol.
4%
34°C
$516 Vol.
19%
35°C
$1,239 Vol.
46%
36°C
$122 Vol.
26%
37°C
$819 Vol.
7%
38°C or higher
$73 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent North Pacific high pressure is sustaining above-average heat across southern South Korea, positioning 34–36°C as the most likely peak for Busan on August 26, 2026.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate daytime maxima of 33–36°C under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and low precipitation chances, allowing strong solar heating amid high humidity. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 35°C (43.5%) and 36°C (25.5%), as recent observations show daily highs running 3–6°C above the late-August climatological norm of ~29–30°C due to the same subtropical ridge.
No significant cooling mechanisms—such as frontal passages, typhoon influences, or increased cloud cover—are expected before resolution, though model spread and minor timing shifts in any scattered showers could nudge the exact peak by 1°C. Traders are weighting the current heat-wave conditions and stable synoptic pattern heavily, with limited upside risk above 37°C given the forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,062End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent North Pacific high pressure is sustaining above-average heat across southern South Korea, positioning 34–36°C as the most likely peak for Busan on August 26, 2026.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate daytime maxima of 33–36°C under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and low precipitation chances, allowing strong solar heating amid high humidity. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 35°C (43.5%) and 36°C (25.5%), as recent observations show daily highs running 3–6°C above the late-August climatological norm of ~29–30°C due to the same subtropical ridge.
No significant cooling mechanisms—such as frontal passages, typhoon influences, or increased cloud cover—are expected before resolution, though model spread and minor timing shifts in any scattered showers could nudge the exact peak by 1°C. Traders are weighting the current heat-wave conditions and stable synoptic pattern heavily, with limited upside risk above 37°C given the forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,062End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent North Pacific high pressure is sustaining above-average heat across southern South Korea, positioning 34–36°C as the most likely peak for Busan on August 26, 2026.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate daytime maxima of 33–36°C under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and low precipitation chances, allowing strong solar heating amid high humidity. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 35°C (43.5%) and 36°C (25.5%), as recent observations show daily highs running 3–6°C above the late-August climatological norm of ~29–30°C due to the same subtropical ridge. No significant cooling mechanisms—such as frontal passages, typhoon influences, or increased cloud cover—are expected before resolution, though model spread and minor timing shifts in any scattered showers could nudge the exact peak by 1°C. Traders are weighting the current heat-wave conditions and stable synoptic pattern heavily, with limited upside risk above 37°C given the forecast envelope.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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