Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models such as those referenced by BBC and Met Office indicate a daily maximum for Busan on August 25 likely falling between 32–35°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds. Late-August climatology for the coastal city centers in the low-to-mid 30s, moderated by marine influences compared with inland heat records elsewhere in South Korea this month. Trader positioning, with 35°C carrying the highest implied probability, reflects model consensus on typical peak heating while acknowledging small spread from potential cloud cover or slight timing shifts in the diurnal cycle. Updated short-range guidance released within the past day continues to support this range ahead of official daily maximum reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 25?
35°C 44%
34°C 26%
36°C 26%
37°C 11%
$13,826 Vol.
$13,826 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
26%
35°C
44%
36°C
26%
37°C
11%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 44%
34°C 26%
36°C 26%
37°C 11%
$13,826 Vol.
$13,826 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
26%
35°C
44%
36°C
26%
37°C
11%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models such as those referenced by BBC and Met Office indicate a daily maximum for Busan on August 25 likely falling between 32–35°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds. Late-August climatology for the coastal city centers in the low-to-mid 30s, moderated by marine influences compared with inland heat records elsewhere in South Korea this month. Trader positioning, with 35°C carrying the highest implied probability, reflects model consensus on typical peak heating while acknowledging small spread from potential cloud cover or slight timing shifts in the diurnal cycle. Updated short-range guidance released within the past day continues to support this range ahead of official daily maximum reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Beware of external links.
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