Ongoing Ebola outbreaks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in May 2026, anchor trader sentiment for the 2026 case markets. The Bundibugyo virus strain has driven thousands of confirmed cases and deaths primarily in DRC's Ituri and neighboring provinces, with limited spillover yielding 20 cases in Uganda before containment. This regional focus, combined with cross-border risks into areas like South Sudan, shapes implied probabilities, while contained international spread to one reported case in France underscores barriers to wider dissemination. Upcoming surveillance updates from WHO and national ministries, alongside any new clusters before year-end, remain key swing factors for multi-country outcomes amid fluctuating transmission dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$34,617 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
South Sudan
62%
Rwanda
28%
Burundi
30%
United States
25%
Canada
24%
Kenya
54%
India
14%
Republic of the Congo
27%
Nigeria
16%
Ethiopia
52%
Somalia
35%
China
11%
$34,617 Vol.
South Sudan
$2,147 Vol.
62%
Rwanda
$2,128 Vol.
28%
Burundi
$200 Vol.
30%
United States
$10,195 Vol.
25%
Canada
$1,222 Vol.
24%
Kenya
$195 Vol.
54%
India
$732 Vol.
14%
Republic of the Congo
$12,170 Vol.
27%
Nigeria
$25 Vol.
16%
Ethiopia
$65 Vol.
52%
Somalia
$71 Vol.
35%
China
$3,512 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Ongoing Ebola outbreaks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in May 2026, anchor trader sentiment for the 2026 case markets. The Bundibugyo virus strain has driven thousands of confirmed cases and deaths primarily in DRC's Ituri and neighboring provinces, with limited spillover yielding 20 cases in Uganda before containment. This regional focus, combined with cross-border risks into areas like South Sudan, shapes implied probabilities, while contained international spread to one reported case in France underscores barriers to wider dissemination. Upcoming surveillance updates from WHO and national ministries, alongside any new clusters before year-end, remain key swing factors for multi-country outcomes amid fluctuating transmission dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Volume
$34,617End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Ongoing Ebola outbreaks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in May 2026, anchor trader sentiment for the 2026 case markets. The Bundibugyo virus strain has driven thousands of confirmed cases and deaths primarily in DRC's Ituri and neighboring provinces, with limited spillover yielding 20 cases in Uganda before containment. This regional focus, combined with cross-border risks into areas like South Sudan, shapes implied probabilities, while contained international spread to one reported case in France underscores barriers to wider dissemination. Upcoming surveillance updates from WHO and national ministries, alongside any new clusters before year-end, remain key swing factors for multi-country outcomes amid fluctuating transmission dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$34,617End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Ebola outbreaks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in May 2026, anchor trader sentiment for the 2026 case markets. The Bundibugyo virus strain has driven thousands of confirmed cases and deaths primarily in DRC's Ituri and neighboring provinces, with limited spillover yielding 20 cases in Uganda before containment. This regional focus, combined with cross-border risks into areas like South Sudan, shapes implied probabilities, while contained international spread to one reported case in France underscores barriers to wider dissemination. Upcoming surveillance updates from WHO and national ministries, alongside any new clusters before year-end, remain key swing factors for multi-country outcomes amid fluctuating transmission dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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