Recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data show a fragmented field for São Paulo’s two Senate seats, with Marina Silva, Simone Tebet, Guilherme Derrite, and André do Prado locked in technical ties at the top amid 14–27% undecided voters and substantial blank/null intentions. Tebet and Silva, running on the same ticket with Fernando Haddad, compete directly with Derrite and Prado, who draw support from Governor Tarcísio de Freitas and aligned conservative groups. High rejection rates for some names and low name recognition for others have kept the second-place outcome open. No major candidate withdrawals, endorsements, or legal rulings have yet produced separation ahead of the October election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSimone Tebet 30%
Marina Silva 25%
André do Prado 24.6%
Guilherme Derrite 16%
$38,479 Vol.
$38,479 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Simone Tebet
30%
Marina Silva
25%
André do Prado
25%
Guilherme Derrite
16%
Salles
8%
Ednelson Cesaretti
<1%
Geraldo Rufino
<1%
Marcio Alves
<1%
Petter Maahs
<1%
Weller Gonçalves
<1%
William Teixeira
<1%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
<1%
Maíra de Souza
<1%
Soninha Francine
<1%
Simone Tebet 30%
Marina Silva 25%
André do Prado 24.6%
Guilherme Derrite 16%
$38,479 Vol.
$38,479 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Simone Tebet
$9,064 Vol.
30%
Marina Silva
$9,743 Vol.
25%
André do Prado
$4,051 Vol.
25%
Guilherme Derrite
$5,842 Vol.
16%
Salles
$4,536 Vol.
8%
Ednelson Cesaretti
$580 Vol.
<1%
Geraldo Rufino
$528 Vol.
<1%
Marcio Alves
$408 Vol.
<1%
Petter Maahs
$757 Vol.
<1%
Weller Gonçalves
$813 Vol.
<1%
William Teixeira
$686 Vol.
<1%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
$457 Vol.
<1%
Maíra de Souza
$406 Vol.
<1%
Soninha Francine
$608 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data show a fragmented field for São Paulo’s two Senate seats, with Marina Silva, Simone Tebet, Guilherme Derrite, and André do Prado locked in technical ties at the top amid 14–27% undecided voters and substantial blank/null intentions. Tebet and Silva, running on the same ticket with Fernando Haddad, compete directly with Derrite and Prado, who draw support from Governor Tarcísio de Freitas and aligned conservative groups. High rejection rates for some names and low name recognition for others have kept the second-place outcome open. No major candidate withdrawals, endorsements, or legal rulings have yet produced separation ahead of the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volume
$38,479End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data show a fragmented field for São Paulo’s two Senate seats, with Marina Silva, Simone Tebet, Guilherme Derrite, and André do Prado locked in technical ties at the top amid 14–27% undecided voters and substantial blank/null intentions. Tebet and Silva, running on the same ticket with Fernando Haddad, compete directly with Derrite and Prado, who draw support from Governor Tarcísio de Freitas and aligned conservative groups. High rejection rates for some names and low name recognition for others have kept the second-place outcome open. No major candidate withdrawals, endorsements, or legal rulings have yet produced separation ahead of the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$38,479End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data show a fragmented field for São Paulo’s two Senate seats, with Marina Silva, Simone Tebet, Guilherme Derrite, and André do Prado locked in technical ties at the top amid 14–27% undecided voters and substantial blank/null intentions. Tebet and Silva, running on the same ticket with Fernando Haddad, compete directly with Derrite and Prado, who draw support from Governor Tarcísio de Freitas and aligned conservative groups. High rejection rates for some names and low name recognition for others have kept the second-place outcome open. No major candidate withdrawals, endorsements, or legal rulings have yet produced separation ahead of the October election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions