Recent AtlasIntel and Delta polling shows a technical three-way tie among Marcio Bittar (PL), Gladson Cameli (PP), and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) for the top two Senate spots in Acre’s October 4, 2026 election, with each hovering near 18-21 percent in stimulated scenarios. Cameli’s March 2026 resignation as governor to enter the race has increased his visibility and party resources, while Bittar benefits from incumbency and Rocha draws support in alternative scenarios excluding Cameli. Petecão (PSD) and Jorge Viana (PT) trail further back. This narrow distribution sustains tight trader pricing for second place, with separation likely hinging on final campaign momentum, turnout patterns, or any late shifts in coalition alignments before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGladson Camelí 39%
Marcio Bittar 31.3%
Mara Rocha 31%
Petecão 4.6%
$19,185 Vol.
$19,185 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gladson Camelí
39%
Marcio Bittar
31%
Mara Rocha
31%
Petecão
5%
Jorge Viana
2%
Professor Inacio Moreira
<1%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
<1%
Gladson Camelí 39%
Marcio Bittar 31.3%
Mara Rocha 31%
Petecão 4.6%
$19,185 Vol.
$19,185 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gladson Camelí
$5,904 Vol.
39%
Marcio Bittar
$2,139 Vol.
31%
Mara Rocha
$7,775 Vol.
31%
Petecão
$1,406 Vol.
5%
Jorge Viana
$619 Vol.
2%
Professor Inacio Moreira
$402 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
$510 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
$430 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel and Delta polling shows a technical three-way tie among Marcio Bittar (PL), Gladson Cameli (PP), and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) for the top two Senate spots in Acre’s October 4, 2026 election, with each hovering near 18-21 percent in stimulated scenarios. Cameli’s March 2026 resignation as governor to enter the race has increased his visibility and party resources, while Bittar benefits from incumbency and Rocha draws support in alternative scenarios excluding Cameli. Petecão (PSD) and Jorge Viana (PT) trail further back. This narrow distribution sustains tight trader pricing for second place, with separation likely hinging on final campaign momentum, turnout patterns, or any late shifts in coalition alignments before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET
Volume
$19,185End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel and Delta polling shows a technical three-way tie among Marcio Bittar (PL), Gladson Cameli (PP), and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) for the top two Senate spots in Acre’s October 4, 2026 election, with each hovering near 18-21 percent in stimulated scenarios. Cameli’s March 2026 resignation as governor to enter the race has increased his visibility and party resources, while Bittar benefits from incumbency and Rocha draws support in alternative scenarios excluding Cameli. Petecão (PSD) and Jorge Viana (PT) trail further back. This narrow distribution sustains tight trader pricing for second place, with separation likely hinging on final campaign momentum, turnout patterns, or any late shifts in coalition alignments before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$19,185End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent AtlasIntel and Delta polling shows a technical three-way tie among Marcio Bittar (PL), Gladson Cameli (PP), and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) for the top two Senate spots in Acre’s October 4, 2026 election, with each hovering near 18-21 percent in stimulated scenarios. Cameli’s March 2026 resignation as governor to enter the race has increased his visibility and party resources, while Bittar benefits from incumbency and Rocha draws support in alternative scenarios excluding Cameli. Petecão (PSD) and Jorge Viana (PT) trail further back. This narrow distribution sustains tight trader pricing for second place, with separation likely hinging on final campaign momentum, turnout patterns, or any late shifts in coalition alignments before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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