Recent polling in Rondônia shows a tight contest for first place in the Senate race between Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) and Sílvia Cristina (PP), with Máximo edging ahead in July surveys at around 19% consolidated intentions versus Cristina's 14%, while Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), Mariana Carvalho, and others trail in a fragmented field. Multiple July polls highlight technical ties among second-tier contenders, consistent with the market's narrow gap at 43% versus 37.5%. Recent withdrawal of Confúcio Moura (MDB) has reshuffled preferences without clear consolidation. Strong regional bolsonarista alignment and the dual-vote system sustain volatility, as voters split support between PL names and PP alternatives ahead of the October ballot. Further shifts in alliances or turnout among right-leaning bases could widen separation before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Dr. Fernando Máximo 43%
Sílvia Cristina 38%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 7.0%
Acir Gurgacz 2.5%
$23,181 Vol.
$23,181 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Fernando Máximo
43%
Sílvia Cristina
38%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
7%
Acir Gurgacz
3%
Luciana Oliveira
3%
Mariana Carvalho
1%
Luis Fernando
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
1%
Aires Mota
<1%
Neidinha
<1%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 43%
Sílvia Cristina 38%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 7.0%
Acir Gurgacz 2.5%
$23,181 Vol.
$23,181 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$10,352 Vol.
43%
Sílvia Cristina
$10,103 Vol.
38%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$284 Vol.
7%
Acir Gurgacz
$302 Vol.
3%
Luciana Oliveira
$313 Vol.
3%
Mariana Carvalho
$352 Vol.
1%
Luis Fernando
$260 Vol.
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
$314 Vol.
1%
Aires Mota
$327 Vol.
<1%
Neidinha
$576 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rondônia shows a tight contest for first place in the Senate race between Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) and Sílvia Cristina (PP), with Máximo edging ahead in July surveys at around 19% consolidated intentions versus Cristina's 14%, while Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), Mariana Carvalho, and others trail in a fragmented field. Multiple July polls highlight technical ties among second-tier contenders, consistent with the market's narrow gap at 43% versus 37.5%. Recent withdrawal of Confúcio Moura (MDB) has reshuffled preferences without clear consolidation. Strong regional bolsonarista alignment and the dual-vote system sustain volatility, as voters split support between PL names and PP alternatives ahead of the October ballot. Further shifts in alliances or turnout among right-leaning bases could widen separation before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$23,181End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rondônia shows a tight contest for first place in the Senate race between Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) and Sílvia Cristina (PP), with Máximo edging ahead in July surveys at around 19% consolidated intentions versus Cristina's 14%, while Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), Mariana Carvalho, and others trail in a fragmented field. Multiple July polls highlight technical ties among second-tier contenders, consistent with the market's narrow gap at 43% versus 37.5%. Recent withdrawal of Confúcio Moura (MDB) has reshuffled preferences without clear consolidation. Strong regional bolsonarista alignment and the dual-vote system sustain volatility, as voters split support between PL names and PP alternatives ahead of the October ballot. Further shifts in alliances or turnout among right-leaning bases could widen separation before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$23,181End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Rondônia shows a tight contest for first place in the Senate race between Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) and Sílvia Cristina (PP), with Máximo edging ahead in July surveys at around 19% consolidated intentions versus Cristina's 14%, while Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), Mariana Carvalho, and others trail in a fragmented field. Multiple July polls highlight technical ties among second-tier contenders, consistent with the market's narrow gap at 43% versus 37.5%. Recent withdrawal of Confúcio Moura (MDB) has reshuffled preferences without clear consolidation. Strong regional bolsonarista alignment and the dual-vote system sustain volatility, as voters split support between PL names and PP alternatives ahead of the October ballot. Further shifts in alliances or turnout among right-leaning bases could widen separation before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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