Recent polling from July 2026 shows a fragmented field for Rondônia’s two Senate seats, with Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading at 19% and Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), and Confúcio Moura clustered within a few points behind. Trader consensus prices Sílvia Cristina highest for second place amid her July pre-candidacy formalization and active campaigning, while Máximo’s established vote base and Scheid’s PL alignment plus Jair Bolsonaro endorsement keep the second spot competitive. Ten candidates overall split support, with limited new data since mid-summer leaving room for shifts before the October 4 first round. Developments such as further polling releases, coalition consolidations, or late endorsements could separate the top contenders ahead of any runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Rondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Sílvia Cristina 35%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 25.9%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 14%
Acir Gurgacz 7.5%
$14,107 Vol.
$14,107 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sílvia Cristina
35%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
29%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
14%
Acir Gurgacz
8%
Aires Mota
3%
Luciana Oliveira
3%
Mariana Carvalho
3%
Luis Fernando
2%
Neidinha
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
1%
Sílvia Cristina 35%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 25.9%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 14%
Acir Gurgacz 7.5%
$14,107 Vol.
$14,107 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sílvia Cristina
$8,113 Vol.
35%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$822 Vol.
29%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$2,185 Vol.
14%
Acir Gurgacz
$743 Vol.
8%
Aires Mota
$501 Vol.
3%
Luciana Oliveira
$239 Vol.
3%
Mariana Carvalho
$194 Vol.
3%
Luis Fernando
$312 Vol.
2%
Neidinha
$211 Vol.
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
$788 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows a fragmented field for Rondônia’s two Senate seats, with Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading at 19% and Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), and Confúcio Moura clustered within a few points behind. Trader consensus prices Sílvia Cristina highest for second place amid her July pre-candidacy formalization and active campaigning, while Máximo’s established vote base and Scheid’s PL alignment plus Jair Bolsonaro endorsement keep the second spot competitive. Ten candidates overall split support, with limited new data since mid-summer leaving room for shifts before the October 4 first round. Developments such as further polling releases, coalition consolidations, or late endorsements could separate the top contenders ahead of any runoff.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Volume
$14,107End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows a fragmented field for Rondônia’s two Senate seats, with Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading at 19% and Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), and Confúcio Moura clustered within a few points behind. Trader consensus prices Sílvia Cristina highest for second place amid her July pre-candidacy formalization and active campaigning, while Máximo’s established vote base and Scheid’s PL alignment plus Jair Bolsonaro endorsement keep the second spot competitive. Ten candidates overall split support, with limited new data since mid-summer leaving room for shifts before the October 4 first round. Developments such as further polling releases, coalition consolidations, or late endorsements could separate the top contenders ahead of any runoff.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$14,107End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from July 2026 shows a fragmented field for Rondônia’s two Senate seats, with Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading at 19% and Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), and Confúcio Moura clustered within a few points behind. Trader consensus prices Sílvia Cristina highest for second place amid her July pre-candidacy formalization and active campaigning, while Máximo’s established vote base and Scheid’s PL alignment plus Jair Bolsonaro endorsement keep the second spot competitive. Ten candidates overall split support, with limited new data since mid-summer leaving room for shifts before the October 4 first round. Developments such as further polling releases, coalition consolidations, or late endorsements could separate the top contenders ahead of any runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions