Roraima's Senate race features 13 registered candidates contesting two seats on October 4, with Teresa Surita (MDB) holding a clear lead for first place based on her local profile as former mayor and party networks. This leaves second place as a tight contest between Chico Rodrigues (PSB) and Helio Bolsonaro (PL), whose July 2026 voter registration transfer from Rio de Janeiro brought national Bolsonarista backing but faces vote splitting with fellow PL candidate Nicoletti. The crowded field, incumbency advantages for veterans like Rodrigues and Surita, and limited recent polling data sustain the close implied probabilities reflected in trader consensus. Any late shifts in turnout among indigenous or rural blocs, or stronger consolidation behind one challenger, could alter positioning before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHelio Bolsonaro 32.4%
Chico Rodrigues 32%
Nicoletti 18.2%
Teresa Surita 18%
$21,727 Vol.
$21,727 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Helio Bolsonaro
32%
Chico Rodrigues
32%
Nicoletti
15%
Teresa Surita
18%
Helena da Asatur
2%
Pastor Isamar
2%
Bartô Macuxi
1%
Márcio Junqueira
1%
Mario Rocha
1%
Rogério Miranda
1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
1%
Regina Tio Ivo
1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Helio Bolsonaro 32.4%
Chico Rodrigues 32%
Nicoletti 18.2%
Teresa Surita 18%
$21,727 Vol.
$21,727 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Helio Bolsonaro
$6,007 Vol.
32%
Chico Rodrigues
$3,487 Vol.
32%
Nicoletti
$3,112 Vol.
15%
Teresa Surita
$6,147 Vol.
18%
Helena da Asatur
$350 Vol.
2%
Pastor Isamar
$445 Vol.
2%
Bartô Macuxi
$323 Vol.
1%
Márcio Junqueira
$312 Vol.
1%
Mario Rocha
$303 Vol.
1%
Rogério Miranda
$319 Vol.
1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$311 Vol.
1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$325 Vol.
1%
Hilton Xavier
$284 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roraima's Senate race features 13 registered candidates contesting two seats on October 4, with Teresa Surita (MDB) holding a clear lead for first place based on her local profile as former mayor and party networks. This leaves second place as a tight contest between Chico Rodrigues (PSB) and Helio Bolsonaro (PL), whose July 2026 voter registration transfer from Rio de Janeiro brought national Bolsonarista backing but faces vote splitting with fellow PL candidate Nicoletti. The crowded field, incumbency advantages for veterans like Rodrigues and Surita, and limited recent polling data sustain the close implied probabilities reflected in trader consensus. Any late shifts in turnout among indigenous or rural blocs, or stronger consolidation behind one challenger, could alter positioning before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Volume
$21,727End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roraima's Senate race features 13 registered candidates contesting two seats on October 4, with Teresa Surita (MDB) holding a clear lead for first place based on her local profile as former mayor and party networks. This leaves second place as a tight contest between Chico Rodrigues (PSB) and Helio Bolsonaro (PL), whose July 2026 voter registration transfer from Rio de Janeiro brought national Bolsonarista backing but faces vote splitting with fellow PL candidate Nicoletti. The crowded field, incumbency advantages for veterans like Rodrigues and Surita, and limited recent polling data sustain the close implied probabilities reflected in trader consensus. Any late shifts in turnout among indigenous or rural blocs, or stronger consolidation behind one challenger, could alter positioning before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$21,727End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Roraima's Senate race features 13 registered candidates contesting two seats on October 4, with Teresa Surita (MDB) holding a clear lead for first place based on her local profile as former mayor and party networks. This leaves second place as a tight contest between Chico Rodrigues (PSB) and Helio Bolsonaro (PL), whose July 2026 voter registration transfer from Rio de Janeiro brought national Bolsonarista backing but faces vote splitting with fellow PL candidate Nicoletti. The crowded field, incumbency advantages for veterans like Rodrigues and Surita, and limited recent polling data sustain the close implied probabilities reflected in trader consensus. Any late shifts in turnout among indigenous or rural blocs, or stronger consolidation behind one challenger, could alter positioning before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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