Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in Roraima’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state’s established preference for candidates aligned with the Liberal Party (PL) and the Bolsonaro family political legacy. Roraima’s electorate has consistently favored right-leaning platforms emphasizing security, evangelical values, and regional economic concerns, patterns reinforced by Jair Bolsonaro’s strong 2022 performance there. Flávio’s July 2026 party convention confirmation as the PL nominee and his father’s endorsement have consolidated this base without notable erosion in recent polling cycles. Lula’s national incumbency and Workers’ Party (PT) organization provide the primary alternative, yet his support remains marginal in this northern state. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require a major local scandal, an unforeseen surge by a competitive regional contender, or a sharp national polling reversal that alters turnout dynamics among conservative and rural voters ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlavio Bolsonaro 95.8%
Lula 2.5%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
96%
Lula
3%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 95.8%
Lula 2.5%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3,367 Vol.
96%
Lula
$593 Vol.
3%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$424 Vol.
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$546 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$417 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$498 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$528 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$492 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$448 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$448 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$448 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$416 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$418 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in Roraima’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state’s established preference for candidates aligned with the Liberal Party (PL) and the Bolsonaro family political legacy. Roraima’s electorate has consistently favored right-leaning platforms emphasizing security, evangelical values, and regional economic concerns, patterns reinforced by Jair Bolsonaro’s strong 2022 performance there. Flávio’s July 2026 party convention confirmation as the PL nominee and his father’s endorsement have consolidated this base without notable erosion in recent polling cycles. Lula’s national incumbency and Workers’ Party (PT) organization provide the primary alternative, yet his support remains marginal in this northern state. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require a major local scandal, an unforeseen surge by a competitive regional contender, or a sharp national polling reversal that alters turnout dynamics among conservative and rural voters ahead of election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Volume
$9,041End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in Roraima’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state’s established preference for candidates aligned with the Liberal Party (PL) and the Bolsonaro family political legacy. Roraima’s electorate has consistently favored right-leaning platforms emphasizing security, evangelical values, and regional economic concerns, patterns reinforced by Jair Bolsonaro’s strong 2022 performance there. Flávio’s July 2026 party convention confirmation as the PL nominee and his father’s endorsement have consolidated this base without notable erosion in recent polling cycles. Lula’s national incumbency and Workers’ Party (PT) organization provide the primary alternative, yet his support remains marginal in this northern state. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require a major local scandal, an unforeseen surge by a competitive regional contender, or a sharp national polling reversal that alters turnout dynamics among conservative and rural voters ahead of election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,041End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in Roraima’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state’s established preference for candidates aligned with the Liberal Party (PL) and the Bolsonaro family political legacy. Roraima’s electorate has consistently favored right-leaning platforms emphasizing security, evangelical values, and regional economic concerns, patterns reinforced by Jair Bolsonaro’s strong 2022 performance there. Flávio’s July 2026 party convention confirmation as the PL nominee and his father’s endorsement have consolidated this base without notable erosion in recent polling cycles. Lula’s national incumbency and Workers’ Party (PT) organization provide the primary alternative, yet his support remains marginal in this northern state. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require a major local scandal, an unforeseen surge by a competitive regional contender, or a sharp national polling reversal that alters turnout dynamics among conservative and rural voters ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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