Recent Datafolha polling shows Benedita da Silva leading Senate intentions in Rio de Janeiro at 15%, with a fragmented pack—including Carlos Jordy, Carlos Portinho, Pedro Paulo, Marcelo Crivella, and Monica Benicio—clustered between 6% and 8% for the second Senate seat. Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential run has opened the contest, allowing multiple PL and center-right contenders alongside left and PSOL options. Trader odds reflect this uncertainty, with no candidate consolidating a clear path to second place ahead of the October 4 vote. Further surveys, party alliances, or late campaign momentum could shift the tight grouping.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCarlos Jordy 28%
Pedro Paulo 20.9%
Benedita da Silva 21%
Carlos Portinho 14%
$27,378 Vol.
$27,378 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Carlos Jordy
28%
Pedro Paulo
21%
Benedita da Silva
21%
Carlos Portinho
14%
Marcelo Crivella
8%
Monica Benicio
1%
Helio Secco
1%
Ó Clemente
1%
André Monteiro
<1%
Luciano Mattos
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
<1%
Marcos Dias
<1%
Michelly Xavier
<1%
Paula Falcão
<1%
Vinicius Benevides
<1%
Waguinho
<1%
Carlos Jordy 28%
Pedro Paulo 20.9%
Benedita da Silva 21%
Carlos Portinho 14%
$27,378 Vol.
$27,378 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Carlos Jordy
$5,034 Vol.
28%
Pedro Paulo
$4,790 Vol.
21%
Benedita da Silva
$5,422 Vol.
21%
Carlos Portinho
$3,426 Vol.
14%
Marcelo Crivella
$989 Vol.
8%
Monica Benicio
$921 Vol.
1%
Helio Secco
$755 Vol.
1%
Ó Clemente
$797 Vol.
1%
André Monteiro
$1,898 Vol.
<1%
Luciano Mattos
$398 Vol.
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
$586 Vol.
<1%
Marcos Dias
$491 Vol.
<1%
Michelly Xavier
$425 Vol.
<1%
Paula Falcão
$410 Vol.
<1%
Vinicius Benevides
$438 Vol.
<1%
Waguinho
$599 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Datafolha polling shows Benedita da Silva leading Senate intentions in Rio de Janeiro at 15%, with a fragmented pack—including Carlos Jordy, Carlos Portinho, Pedro Paulo, Marcelo Crivella, and Monica Benicio—clustered between 6% and 8% for the second Senate seat. Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential run has opened the contest, allowing multiple PL and center-right contenders alongside left and PSOL options. Trader odds reflect this uncertainty, with no candidate consolidating a clear path to second place ahead of the October 4 vote. Further surveys, party alliances, or late campaign momentum could shift the tight grouping.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Volume
$27,378End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Datafolha polling shows Benedita da Silva leading Senate intentions in Rio de Janeiro at 15%, with a fragmented pack—including Carlos Jordy, Carlos Portinho, Pedro Paulo, Marcelo Crivella, and Monica Benicio—clustered between 6% and 8% for the second Senate seat. Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential run has opened the contest, allowing multiple PL and center-right contenders alongside left and PSOL options. Trader odds reflect this uncertainty, with no candidate consolidating a clear path to second place ahead of the October 4 vote. Further surveys, party alliances, or late campaign momentum could shift the tight grouping.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$27,378End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Datafolha polling shows Benedita da Silva leading Senate intentions in Rio de Janeiro at 15%, with a fragmented pack—including Carlos Jordy, Carlos Portinho, Pedro Paulo, Marcelo Crivella, and Monica Benicio—clustered between 6% and 8% for the second Senate seat. Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential run has opened the contest, allowing multiple PL and center-right contenders alongside left and PSOL options. Trader odds reflect this uncertainty, with no candidate consolidating a clear path to second place ahead of the October 4 vote. Further surveys, party alliances, or late campaign momentum could shift the tight grouping.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions