Recent polling, including a Quaest survey released August 24, shows a fragmented field for Rio Grande do Norte's two open Senate seats, with Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) leading overall while Zenaide Maia (PSD), Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL) remain closely bunched for the second position amid 78% spontaneous indecision. Official campaigning began August 16 ahead of the October 4 vote, and voters select two names, intensifying competition for the lower-ranked seat. Trader prices reflect this uncertainty, with no single contender dominating implied probabilities as parties finalize coalitions and candidates emphasize local priorities like health, infrastructure, and economic development. Further shifts could emerge from upcoming debates, turnout patterns in key regions, or last-minute endorsements that consolidate support among undecided voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZenaide Maia 42%
Samanda de Lula 28%
Styvenson Valentim 19.8%
Rafael Motta 5.8%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Zenaide Maia
42%
Samanda de Lula
28%
Styvenson Valentim
20%
Rafael Motta
15%
Luciana Mandu
1%
Rosália Fernandes
1%
Professor Guilherme
1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
1%
Sonia Godeiro
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
<1%
Tércio Tinôco
<1%
Coronel Hélio
<1%
Gari Wendell Batista
<1%
Linhares Jiboia
<1%
Zenaide Maia 42%
Samanda de Lula 28%
Styvenson Valentim 19.8%
Rafael Motta 5.8%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Zenaide Maia
$1,755 Vol.
42%
Samanda de Lula
$2,490 Vol.
28%
Styvenson Valentim
$1,176 Vol.
20%
Rafael Motta
$683 Vol.
15%
Luciana Mandu
$428 Vol.
1%
Rosália Fernandes
$477 Vol.
1%
Professor Guilherme
$315 Vol.
1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
$378 Vol.
1%
Sonia Godeiro
$307 Vol.
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
$347 Vol.
<1%
Tércio Tinôco
$457 Vol.
<1%
Coronel Hélio
$322 Vol.
<1%
Gari Wendell Batista
$406 Vol.
<1%
Linhares Jiboia
$377 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling, including a Quaest survey released August 24, shows a fragmented field for Rio Grande do Norte's two open Senate seats, with Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) leading overall while Zenaide Maia (PSD), Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL) remain closely bunched for the second position amid 78% spontaneous indecision. Official campaigning began August 16 ahead of the October 4 vote, and voters select two names, intensifying competition for the lower-ranked seat. Trader prices reflect this uncertainty, with no single contender dominating implied probabilities as parties finalize coalitions and candidates emphasize local priorities like health, infrastructure, and economic development. Further shifts could emerge from upcoming debates, turnout patterns in key regions, or last-minute endorsements that consolidate support among undecided voters.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Volume
$9,917End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling, including a Quaest survey released August 24, shows a fragmented field for Rio Grande do Norte's two open Senate seats, with Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) leading overall while Zenaide Maia (PSD), Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL) remain closely bunched for the second position amid 78% spontaneous indecision. Official campaigning began August 16 ahead of the October 4 vote, and voters select two names, intensifying competition for the lower-ranked seat. Trader prices reflect this uncertainty, with no single contender dominating implied probabilities as parties finalize coalitions and candidates emphasize local priorities like health, infrastructure, and economic development. Further shifts could emerge from upcoming debates, turnout patterns in key regions, or last-minute endorsements that consolidate support among undecided voters.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$9,917End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling, including a Quaest survey released August 24, shows a fragmented field for Rio Grande do Norte's two open Senate seats, with Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) leading overall while Zenaide Maia (PSD), Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL) remain closely bunched for the second position amid 78% spontaneous indecision. Official campaigning began August 16 ahead of the October 4 vote, and voters select two names, intensifying competition for the lower-ranked seat. Trader prices reflect this uncertainty, with no single contender dominating implied probabilities as parties finalize coalitions and candidates emphasize local priorities like health, infrastructure, and economic development. Further shifts could emerge from upcoming debates, turnout patterns in key regions, or last-minute endorsements that consolidate support among undecided voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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