**In the Tocantins Senate race for two seats, polls show incumbent Eduardo Gomes (PL) consistently leading, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), Carlos Gaguim (União Brasil), Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos), Eli Borges (Republicanos), and Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos).** Recent surveys from August 2026 indicate Guimarães and Gaguim trading positions behind Gomes, with shares in the mid-teens to low-20s amid 25-40% undecided or blank voters. The August 6 withdrawal of Irajá Abreu (PSD) may consolidate support, while candidate registrations closed mid-month and formal campaigns intensify toward the October 4 vote. High fragmentation, dual-vote mechanics, and late deciders sustain tight implied probabilities for second place, with shifts likely from turnout patterns or last-minute alliances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlexandre Guimarães 47%
Gaguim 34.3%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo 7%
Eduardo Gomes 5.9%
$17,585 Vol.
$17,585 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Guimarães
47%
Gaguim
34%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
7%
Eduardo Gomes
6%
Eli Borges
5%
Ronaldo Dimas
4%
Nilton Santos
2%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
2%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
2%
Osvany Luz
1%
Fábio Ribeiro
1%
Professor Osvaldo
1%
Paulo Mourão
<1%
Alexandre Guimarães 47%
Gaguim 34.3%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo 7%
Eduardo Gomes 5.9%
$17,585 Vol.
$17,585 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Guimarães
$8,979 Vol.
47%
Gaguim
$2,315 Vol.
34%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$325 Vol.
7%
Eduardo Gomes
$308 Vol.
6%
Eli Borges
$326 Vol.
5%
Ronaldo Dimas
$262 Vol.
4%
Nilton Santos
$273 Vol.
2%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$257 Vol.
2%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$223 Vol.
2%
Osvany Luz
$317 Vol.
1%
Fábio Ribeiro
$228 Vol.
1%
Professor Osvaldo
$221 Vol.
1%
Paulo Mourão
$3,549 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**In the Tocantins Senate race for two seats, polls show incumbent Eduardo Gomes (PL) consistently leading, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), Carlos Gaguim (União Brasil), Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos), Eli Borges (Republicanos), and Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos).** Recent surveys from August 2026 indicate Guimarães and Gaguim trading positions behind Gomes, with shares in the mid-teens to low-20s amid 25-40% undecided or blank voters. The August 6 withdrawal of Irajá Abreu (PSD) may consolidate support, while candidate registrations closed mid-month and formal campaigns intensify toward the October 4 vote. High fragmentation, dual-vote mechanics, and late deciders sustain tight implied probabilities for second place, with shifts likely from turnout patterns or last-minute alliances.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volume
$17,585End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**In the Tocantins Senate race for two seats, polls show incumbent Eduardo Gomes (PL) consistently leading, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), Carlos Gaguim (União Brasil), Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos), Eli Borges (Republicanos), and Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos).** Recent surveys from August 2026 indicate Guimarães and Gaguim trading positions behind Gomes, with shares in the mid-teens to low-20s amid 25-40% undecided or blank voters. The August 6 withdrawal of Irajá Abreu (PSD) may consolidate support, while candidate registrations closed mid-month and formal campaigns intensify toward the October 4 vote. High fragmentation, dual-vote mechanics, and late deciders sustain tight implied probabilities for second place, with shifts likely from turnout patterns or last-minute alliances.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,585End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**In the Tocantins Senate race for two seats, polls show incumbent Eduardo Gomes (PL) consistently leading, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), Carlos Gaguim (União Brasil), Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos), Eli Borges (Republicanos), and Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos).** Recent surveys from August 2026 indicate Guimarães and Gaguim trading positions behind Gomes, with shares in the mid-teens to low-20s amid 25-40% undecided or blank voters. The August 6 withdrawal of Irajá Abreu (PSD) may consolidate support, while candidate registrations closed mid-month and formal campaigns intensify toward the October 4 vote. High fragmentation, dual-vote mechanics, and late deciders sustain tight implied probabilities for second place, with shifts likely from turnout patterns or last-minute alliances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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