Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator and current first vice president of the Brazilian Senate, leads the Tocantins race for one of two seats on October 4, 2026, with trader consensus at 69% for first place. Multiple polls from June through mid-August show him ahead at 27–36% in a fragmented field of 13 candidates, well ahead of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Gaguim (União Brasil). His established statewide profile and recent withdrawal by rival Irajá Abreu (PSD) have reinforced this positioning ahead of the vote. The market’s pricing aligns with polling trends that historically favor the top vote-getter in Brazil’s two-seat Senate contests, though high undecided shares leave room for late shifts before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEduardo Gomes 69%
Alexandre Guimarães 16.4%
Gaguim 8.3%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga <1%
$20,664 Vol.
$20,664 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Gomes
69%
Alexandre Guimarães
18%
Gaguim
8%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
<1%
Nilton Santos
<1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
<1%
Eli Borges
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
<1%
Osvany Luz
<1%
Paulo Mourão
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
<1%
Ronaldo Dimas
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
<1%
Eduardo Gomes 69%
Alexandre Guimarães 16.4%
Gaguim 8.3%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga <1%
$20,664 Vol.
$20,664 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Gomes
$12,312 Vol.
69%
Alexandre Guimarães
$2,010 Vol.
18%
Gaguim
$694 Vol.
8%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$582 Vol.
<1%
Nilton Santos
$629 Vol.
<1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$503 Vol.
<1%
Eli Borges
$523 Vol.
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
$593 Vol.
<1%
Osvany Luz
$515 Vol.
<1%
Paulo Mourão
$544 Vol.
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
$593 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Dimas
$610 Vol.
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$554 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator and current first vice president of the Brazilian Senate, leads the Tocantins race for one of two seats on October 4, 2026, with trader consensus at 69% for first place. Multiple polls from June through mid-August show him ahead at 27–36% in a fragmented field of 13 candidates, well ahead of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Gaguim (União Brasil). His established statewide profile and recent withdrawal by rival Irajá Abreu (PSD) have reinforced this positioning ahead of the vote. The market’s pricing aligns with polling trends that historically favor the top vote-getter in Brazil’s two-seat Senate contests, though high undecided shares leave room for late shifts before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volume
$20,664End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator and current first vice president of the Brazilian Senate, leads the Tocantins race for one of two seats on October 4, 2026, with trader consensus at 69% for first place. Multiple polls from June through mid-August show him ahead at 27–36% in a fragmented field of 13 candidates, well ahead of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Gaguim (União Brasil). His established statewide profile and recent withdrawal by rival Irajá Abreu (PSD) have reinforced this positioning ahead of the vote. The market’s pricing aligns with polling trends that historically favor the top vote-getter in Brazil’s two-seat Senate contests, though high undecided shares leave room for late shifts before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$20,664End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator and current first vice president of the Brazilian Senate, leads the Tocantins race for one of two seats on October 4, 2026, with trader consensus at 69% for first place. Multiple polls from June through mid-August show him ahead at 27–36% in a fragmented field of 13 candidates, well ahead of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Gaguim (União Brasil). His established statewide profile and recent withdrawal by rival Irajá Abreu (PSD) have reinforced this positioning ahead of the vote. The market’s pricing aligns with polling trends that historically favor the top vote-getter in Brazil’s two-seat Senate contests, though high undecided shares leave room for late shifts before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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