Recent Quaest polling released August 24 shows a fragmented Maranhão Senate race for the two seats, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) at 16% overall and Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11%, followed closely by Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) in the 9-10% range; the second-vote breakdown places Weverton narrowly ahead of Roseana. High undecided rates (89% spontaneous) and early-stage alliances tied to gubernatorial tickets keep probabilities for second place tightly contested among multiple contenders. Legal challenges to Weverton’s registration, including an electoral court action over unpaid fines and ongoing federal probes, add uncertainty that could shift second-place positioning ahead of the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Weverton Rocha 37%
Lahesio Bonfim 30.3%
Roseana Sarney 26%
Fufuca 19%
$17,080 Vol.
$17,080 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Weverton Rocha
37%
Lahesio Bonfim
30%
Roseana Sarney
26%
Fufuca
19%
Raimundo Moreira
4%
Eliziane Gama
3%
Enilton Rodrigues
2%
Wilson Leite
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Weverton Rocha 37%
Lahesio Bonfim 30.3%
Roseana Sarney 26%
Fufuca 19%
$17,080 Vol.
$17,080 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Weverton Rocha
$7,738 Vol.
37%
Lahesio Bonfim
$762 Vol.
30%
Roseana Sarney
$1,862 Vol.
26%
Fufuca
$2,934 Vol.
19%
Raimundo Moreira
$431 Vol.
4%
Eliziane Gama
$998 Vol.
3%
Enilton Rodrigues
$483 Vol.
2%
Wilson Leite
$443 Vol.
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$423 Vol.
1%
Simplício Araújo
$568 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$436 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling released August 24 shows a fragmented Maranhão Senate race for the two seats, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) at 16% overall and Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11%, followed closely by Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) in the 9-10% range; the second-vote breakdown places Weverton narrowly ahead of Roseana. High undecided rates (89% spontaneous) and early-stage alliances tied to gubernatorial tickets keep probabilities for second place tightly contested among multiple contenders. Legal challenges to Weverton’s registration, including an electoral court action over unpaid fines and ongoing federal probes, add uncertainty that could shift second-place positioning ahead of the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$17,080End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling released August 24 shows a fragmented Maranhão Senate race for the two seats, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) at 16% overall and Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11%, followed closely by Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) in the 9-10% range; the second-vote breakdown places Weverton narrowly ahead of Roseana. High undecided rates (89% spontaneous) and early-stage alliances tied to gubernatorial tickets keep probabilities for second place tightly contested among multiple contenders. Legal challenges to Weverton’s registration, including an electoral court action over unpaid fines and ongoing federal probes, add uncertainty that could shift second-place positioning ahead of the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,080End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Quaest polling released August 24 shows a fragmented Maranhão Senate race for the two seats, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) at 16% overall and Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11%, followed closely by Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) in the 9-10% range; the second-vote breakdown places Weverton narrowly ahead of Roseana. High undecided rates (89% spontaneous) and early-stage alliances tied to gubernatorial tickets keep probabilities for second place tightly contested among multiple contenders. Legal challenges to Weverton’s registration, including an electoral court action over unpaid fines and ongoing federal probes, add uncertainty that could shift second-place positioning ahead of the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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