Recent polling from Paraná Pesquisas (conducted August 21–23) shows ex-governor Mauro Mendes leading consolidated first-and-second vote intentions at 52.3%, with state deputy Janaina Riva (MDB) in second at 33.7%, ahead of José Medeiros (18.8%), Pedro Taques (16.5%), and Carlos Fávaro (14.6%). The fragmented field behind Riva, combined with high undecided shares and ongoing campaign activities such as candidate launches and policy proposals on security and family issues, keeps the contest for second place competitive. Trader pricing reflects this positioning while acknowledging scope for shifts ahead of the October vote, including potential coalition effects or turnout variations among key blocs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJanaina Riva 51%
Mauro Mendes 34%
Jose Medeiros 12%
Galvan 7.2%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Janaina Riva
51%
Mauro Mendes
34%
Jose Medeiros
10%
Galvan
7%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
6%
Beny Godoy
3%
Margareth Buzetti
3%
Fávaro
2%
Pedro Taques
1%
Coronel Darwin
<1%
Janaina Riva 51%
Mauro Mendes 34%
Jose Medeiros 12%
Galvan 7.2%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Janaina Riva
$4,114 Vol.
51%
Mauro Mendes
$608 Vol.
34%
Jose Medeiros
$123 Vol.
10%
Galvan
$105 Vol.
7%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
$105 Vol.
6%
Beny Godoy
$105 Vol.
3%
Margareth Buzetti
$105 Vol.
3%
Fávaro
$105 Vol.
2%
Pedro Taques
$105 Vol.
1%
Coronel Darwin
$105 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Paraná Pesquisas (conducted August 21–23) shows ex-governor Mauro Mendes leading consolidated first-and-second vote intentions at 52.3%, with state deputy Janaina Riva (MDB) in second at 33.7%, ahead of José Medeiros (18.8%), Pedro Taques (16.5%), and Carlos Fávaro (14.6%). The fragmented field behind Riva, combined with high undecided shares and ongoing campaign activities such as candidate launches and policy proposals on security and family issues, keeps the contest for second place competitive. Trader pricing reflects this positioning while acknowledging scope for shifts ahead of the October vote, including potential coalition effects or turnout variations among key blocs.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Volume
$5,576End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Paraná Pesquisas (conducted August 21–23) shows ex-governor Mauro Mendes leading consolidated first-and-second vote intentions at 52.3%, with state deputy Janaina Riva (MDB) in second at 33.7%, ahead of José Medeiros (18.8%), Pedro Taques (16.5%), and Carlos Fávaro (14.6%). The fragmented field behind Riva, combined with high undecided shares and ongoing campaign activities such as candidate launches and policy proposals on security and family issues, keeps the contest for second place competitive. Trader pricing reflects this positioning while acknowledging scope for shifts ahead of the October vote, including potential coalition effects or turnout variations among key blocs.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$5,576End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Paraná Pesquisas (conducted August 21–23) shows ex-governor Mauro Mendes leading consolidated first-and-second vote intentions at 52.3%, with state deputy Janaina Riva (MDB) in second at 33.7%, ahead of José Medeiros (18.8%), Pedro Taques (16.5%), and Carlos Fávaro (14.6%). The fragmented field behind Riva, combined with high undecided shares and ongoing campaign activities such as candidate launches and policy proposals on security and family issues, keeps the contest for second place competitive. Trader pricing reflects this positioning while acknowledging scope for shifts ahead of the October vote, including potential coalition effects or turnout variations among key blocs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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