Mauro Mendes, the former Mato Grosso governor who resigned in March 2026 to pursue a Senate seat with União Brasil, leads trader consensus for first place due to his established statewide profile, prior electoral successes, and consistent top positioning in recent voter intention surveys. The October 4, 2026, election features two seats, with state deputy Janaina Riva (MDB) as the main challenger and lower support for figures including Agriculture Minister Carlos Fávaro (PSD), José Medeiros (PL), and former governor Pedro Taques (PSB). A recent Federal Police operation prompted Mendes to allege political motivation by rivals, yet available polling and candidate registration data indicate limited immediate impact on his frontrunner status. Traders appear to weigh name recognition and incumbency-like advantages heavily in assessing the likely vote leader.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMauro Mendes 72%
Janaina Riva 15.4%
Beny Godoy 4.0%
Margareth Buzetti 3.8%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Mauro Mendes
72%
Janaina Riva
15%
Beny Godoy
4%
Margareth Buzetti
4%
Fávaro
4%
Pedro Taques
4%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
2%
Galvan
2%
Coronel Darwin
2%
Jose Medeiros
2%
Mauro Mendes 72%
Janaina Riva 15.4%
Beny Godoy 4.0%
Margareth Buzetti 3.8%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Mauro Mendes
$6,377 Vol.
72%
Janaina Riva
$164 Vol.
15%
Beny Godoy
$93 Vol.
4%
Margareth Buzetti
$79 Vol.
4%
Fávaro
$378 Vol.
4%
Pedro Taques
$64 Vol.
4%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
$135 Vol.
2%
Galvan
$167 Vol.
2%
Coronel Darwin
$114 Vol.
2%
Jose Medeiros
$64 Vol.
2%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Mauro Mendes, the former Mato Grosso governor who resigned in March 2026 to pursue a Senate seat with União Brasil, leads trader consensus for first place due to his established statewide profile, prior electoral successes, and consistent top positioning in recent voter intention surveys. The October 4, 2026, election features two seats, with state deputy Janaina Riva (MDB) as the main challenger and lower support for figures including Agriculture Minister Carlos Fávaro (PSD), José Medeiros (PL), and former governor Pedro Taques (PSB). A recent Federal Police operation prompted Mendes to allege political motivation by rivals, yet available polling and candidate registration data indicate limited immediate impact on his frontrunner status. Traders appear to weigh name recognition and incumbency-like advantages heavily in assessing the likely vote leader.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,634End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Mauro Mendes, the former Mato Grosso governor who resigned in March 2026 to pursue a Senate seat with União Brasil, leads trader consensus for first place due to his established statewide profile, prior electoral successes, and consistent top positioning in recent voter intention surveys. The October 4, 2026, election features two seats, with state deputy Janaina Riva (MDB) as the main challenger and lower support for figures including Agriculture Minister Carlos Fávaro (PSD), José Medeiros (PL), and former governor Pedro Taques (PSB). A recent Federal Police operation prompted Mendes to allege political motivation by rivals, yet available polling and candidate registration data indicate limited immediate impact on his frontrunner status. Traders appear to weigh name recognition and incumbency-like advantages heavily in assessing the likely vote leader.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$7,634End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mauro Mendes, the former Mato Grosso governor who resigned in March 2026 to pursue a Senate seat with União Brasil, leads trader consensus for first place due to his established statewide profile, prior electoral successes, and consistent top positioning in recent voter intention surveys. The October 4, 2026, election features two seats, with state deputy Janaina Riva (MDB) as the main challenger and lower support for figures including Agriculture Minister Carlos Fávaro (PSD), José Medeiros (PL), and former governor Pedro Taques (PSB). A recent Federal Police operation prompted Mendes to allege political motivation by rivals, yet available polling and candidate registration data indicate limited immediate impact on his frontrunner status. Traders appear to weigh name recognition and incumbency-like advantages heavily in assessing the likely vote leader.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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