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icon for Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place

Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place

Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place

Veneziano 55%

Nabor 37%

Dr. Marcelo Queiroga 6.9%

Adriano Trajano 4.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Veneziano 55%

Nabor 37%

Dr. Marcelo Queiroga 6.9%

Adriano Trajano 4.8%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Veneziano

Veneziano

$3,805 Vol.

55%

icon for Nabor

Nabor

$610 Vol.

37%

icon for Dr. Marcelo Queiroga

Dr. Marcelo Queiroga

$332 Vol.

7%

icon for Adriano Trajano

Adriano Trajano

$1,323 Vol.

5%

icon for Joao Azevêdo

Joao Azevêdo

$358 Vol.

2%

icon for Major Fábio

Major Fábio

$213 Vol.

1%

icon for Rinaldo Júnior

Rinaldo Júnior

$206 Vol.

1%

icon for Rosilene Santana

Rosilene Santana

$225 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Gadelha

André Gadelha

$205 Vol.

<1%

icon for João Batista

João Batista

$189 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data places ex-governor João Azevêdo (PSB) in a clear lead for first place, positioning incumbent senator Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) as the leading contender for second while Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos) and Dr. Marcelo Queiroga (PL) remain within striking distance. Candidate confirmations and coalition announcements in July and August 2026 have kept second-place probabilities closely contested, with trader consensus reflecting modest separation between Veneziano and the field. Upcoming debates, final coalition alignments, and any late shifts in voter turnout among key regional blocs could widen or narrow gaps before the October 4 first round.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$7,467
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data places ex-governor João Azevêdo (PSB) in a clear lead for first place, positioning incumbent senator Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) as the leading contender for second while Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos) and Dr. Marcelo Queiroga (PL) remain within striking distance. Candidate confirmations and coalition announcements in July and August 2026 have kept second-place probabilities closely contested, with trader consensus reflecting modest separation between Veneziano and the field. Upcoming debates, final coalition alignments, and any late shifts in voter turnout among key regional blocs could widen or narrow gaps before the October 4 first round.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$7,467
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Veneziano" at 55%, followed by "Nabor" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place" is "Veneziano" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nabor" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.