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icon for Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place

Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place

Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place

Joao Azevêdo 86%

Veneziano 6.4%

Nabor 4.9%

João Batista <1%

Polymarket

$11,120 Vol.

Joao Azevêdo 86%

Veneziano 6.4%

Nabor 4.9%

João Batista <1%

Polymarket

$11,120 Vol.

icon for Joao Azevêdo

Joao Azevêdo

$7,438 Vol.

86%

icon for Veneziano

Veneziano

$1,001 Vol.

6%

icon for Nabor

Nabor

$460 Vol.

5%

icon for João Batista

João Batista

$304 Vol.

<1%

icon for Major Fábio

Major Fábio

$290 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adriano Trajano

Adriano Trajano

$383 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Gadelha

André Gadelha

$342 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dr. Marcelo Queiroga

Dr. Marcelo Queiroga

$243 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rinaldo Júnior

Rinaldo Júnior

$293 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rosilene Santana

Rosilene Santana

$366 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).João Azevêdo (PSB) holds an overwhelming lead in the race for first place in Paraíba's Senate election on October 4, 2026, as the former governor who resigned his state post to seek a federal seat. Recent polling, including a Real Time Big Data survey released August 24, shows him at 29% support ahead of Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) at 23%, with other candidates such as Marcelo Queiroga and Nabor Wanderley trailing further behind. Azevêdo's registration of candidacy in mid-August and established statewide profile have reinforced his position ahead of the two-seat contest. Market pricing aligns with these trends, reflecting traders' assessment of polling momentum and structural advantages in the Paraíba electorate. Upcoming surveys and campaign developments could still influence positioning before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$11,120
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).João Azevêdo (PSB) holds an overwhelming lead in the race for first place in Paraíba's Senate election on October 4, 2026, as the former governor who resigned his state post to seek a federal seat. Recent polling, including a Real Time Big Data survey released August 24, shows him at 29% support ahead of Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) at 23%, with other candidates such as Marcelo Queiroga and Nabor Wanderley trailing further behind. Azevêdo's registration of candidacy in mid-August and established statewide profile have reinforced his position ahead of the two-seat contest. Market pricing aligns with these trends, reflecting traders' assessment of polling momentum and structural advantages in the Paraíba electorate. Upcoming surveys and campaign developments could still influence positioning before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$11,120
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Joao Azevêdo" at 86%, followed by "Veneziano" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place" has generated $11.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place" is "Joao Azevêdo" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Veneziano" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.