Recent polling from late July and early August 2026 shows a tight four-way contest for first place in Acre's October 4 Senate election, with Márcio Bittar (PL), Gladson Cameli (PP), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and Jorge Viana (PT) clustered within margins of error across AtlasIntel and Real Time Big Data surveys. Bittar's edge in some combined first- and second-choice measures reflects his incumbency, while Cameli's former gubernatorial profile and Rocha's federal deputy role keep them competitive. Trader consensus prices reflect this uncertainty, with no candidate exceeding roughly 40% implied probability amid eight total contenders and typical volatility in low-population electorates. Late-campaign endorsements, turnout among key regional blocs, or shifts in second-preference flows could separate the leader before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMarcio Bittar 38%
Gladson Camelí 26.0%
Jorge Viana 13.3%
Mara Rocha 12.6%
$12,716 Vol.
$12,716 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcio Bittar
38%
Gladson Camelí
26%
Jorge Viana
13%
Mara Rocha
13%
Petecão
10%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
4%
Eduardo Velloso
1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
1%
Marcio Bittar 38%
Gladson Camelí 26.0%
Jorge Viana 13.3%
Mara Rocha 12.6%
$12,716 Vol.
$12,716 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcio Bittar
$4,892 Vol.
38%
Gladson Camelí
$3,779 Vol.
26%
Jorge Viana
$823 Vol.
13%
Mara Rocha
$1,199 Vol.
13%
Petecão
$812 Vol.
10%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
$318 Vol.
4%
Eduardo Velloso
$357 Vol.
1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
$537 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late July and early August 2026 shows a tight four-way contest for first place in Acre's October 4 Senate election, with Márcio Bittar (PL), Gladson Cameli (PP), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and Jorge Viana (PT) clustered within margins of error across AtlasIntel and Real Time Big Data surveys. Bittar's edge in some combined first- and second-choice measures reflects his incumbency, while Cameli's former gubernatorial profile and Rocha's federal deputy role keep them competitive. Trader consensus prices reflect this uncertainty, with no candidate exceeding roughly 40% implied probability amid eight total contenders and typical volatility in low-population electorates. Late-campaign endorsements, turnout among key regional blocs, or shifts in second-preference flows could separate the leader before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ET
Volume
$12,716End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late July and early August 2026 shows a tight four-way contest for first place in Acre's October 4 Senate election, with Márcio Bittar (PL), Gladson Cameli (PP), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and Jorge Viana (PT) clustered within margins of error across AtlasIntel and Real Time Big Data surveys. Bittar's edge in some combined first- and second-choice measures reflects his incumbency, while Cameli's former gubernatorial profile and Rocha's federal deputy role keep them competitive. Trader consensus prices reflect this uncertainty, with no candidate exceeding roughly 40% implied probability amid eight total contenders and typical volatility in low-population electorates. Late-campaign endorsements, turnout among key regional blocs, or shifts in second-preference flows could separate the leader before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$12,716End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late July and early August 2026 shows a tight four-way contest for first place in Acre's October 4 Senate election, with Márcio Bittar (PL), Gladson Cameli (PP), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and Jorge Viana (PT) clustered within margins of error across AtlasIntel and Real Time Big Data surveys. Bittar's edge in some combined first- and second-choice measures reflects his incumbency, while Cameli's former gubernatorial profile and Rocha's federal deputy role keep them competitive. Trader consensus prices reflect this uncertainty, with no candidate exceeding roughly 40% implied probability amid eight total contenders and typical volatility in low-population electorates. Late-campaign endorsements, turnout among key regional blocs, or shifts in second-preference flows could separate the leader before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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