**The Amazonas Senate race for second place remains tightly contested between Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) and Wilson Lima (União Brasil), with recent polls from June through mid-August showing them separated by just 1-4 points in combined or second-vote scenarios.** Eduardo Braga (MDB) consistently leads overall, often by double digits, positioning him for first while leaving the second seat open. Neto draws stronger support in Manaus, while Lima performs better in the interior, reflecting distinct regional voter bases that have kept the contest balanced. Plínio Valério (PSDB) trails further back. The closeness mirrors polling margins near or within error ranges, with traders pricing the outcome near 50-50. Upcoming debates in late August and September, plus any shifts in alliances or turnout patterns ahead of the October 4 election, could alter momentum before voters select two senators.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCapitão Alberto Neto 47%
Wilson Lima 37%
Plinio Valério 7.3%
Eduardo Braga 5%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Alberto Neto
47%
Wilson Lima
37%
Plinio Valério
7%
Eduardo Braga
5%
Dailson Corrêa
1%
Ismael Munduruku
1%
Evandro de Oliveira
<1%
Professora Evany
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%
Capitão Alberto Neto 47%
Wilson Lima 37%
Plinio Valério 7.3%
Eduardo Braga 5%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Alberto Neto
$2,060 Vol.
47%
Wilson Lima
$1,728 Vol.
37%
Plinio Valério
$507 Vol.
7%
Eduardo Braga
$1,067 Vol.
5%
Dailson Corrêa
$379 Vol.
1%
Ismael Munduruku
$354 Vol.
1%
Evandro de Oliveira
$381 Vol.
<1%
Professora Evany
$647 Vol.
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$626 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The Amazonas Senate race for second place remains tightly contested between Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) and Wilson Lima (União Brasil), with recent polls from June through mid-August showing them separated by just 1-4 points in combined or second-vote scenarios.** Eduardo Braga (MDB) consistently leads overall, often by double digits, positioning him for first while leaving the second seat open. Neto draws stronger support in Manaus, while Lima performs better in the interior, reflecting distinct regional voter bases that have kept the contest balanced. Plínio Valério (PSDB) trails further back. The closeness mirrors polling margins near or within error ranges, with traders pricing the outcome near 50-50. Upcoming debates in late August and September, plus any shifts in alliances or turnout patterns ahead of the October 4 election, could alter momentum before voters select two senators.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET
Volume
$7,748End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The Amazonas Senate race for second place remains tightly contested between Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) and Wilson Lima (União Brasil), with recent polls from June through mid-August showing them separated by just 1-4 points in combined or second-vote scenarios.** Eduardo Braga (MDB) consistently leads overall, often by double digits, positioning him for first while leaving the second seat open. Neto draws stronger support in Manaus, while Lima performs better in the interior, reflecting distinct regional voter bases that have kept the contest balanced. Plínio Valério (PSDB) trails further back. The closeness mirrors polling margins near or within error ranges, with traders pricing the outcome near 50-50. Upcoming debates in late August and September, plus any shifts in alliances or turnout patterns ahead of the October 4 election, could alter momentum before voters select two senators.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$7,748End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The Amazonas Senate race for second place remains tightly contested between Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) and Wilson Lima (União Brasil), with recent polls from June through mid-August showing them separated by just 1-4 points in combined or second-vote scenarios.** Eduardo Braga (MDB) consistently leads overall, often by double digits, positioning him for first while leaving the second seat open. Neto draws stronger support in Manaus, while Lima performs better in the interior, reflecting distinct regional voter bases that have kept the contest balanced. Plínio Valério (PSDB) trails further back. The closeness mirrors polling margins near or within error ranges, with traders pricing the outcome near 50-50. Upcoming debates in late August and September, plus any shifts in alliances or turnout patterns ahead of the October 4 election, could alter momentum before voters select two senators.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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