Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds a commanding lead in Amapá’s October 4, 2026 Senate race for first place, backed by recent July–August polling showing her well ahead of the field at roughly 40–50% support. Her candidacy benefits from alignment with husband Dr. Furlan’s gubernatorial bid on the PSD ticket, leveraging regional family political networks and voter recognition in the state. The two seats are contested separately in Brazil’s system, with incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD) clustered for second amid shifting alliances and overlapping bases. Lower-polling entrants such as Alliny Serrão, Acácio Favacho, and Professor Uzian Pinto trail significantly. Trader consensus reflects these survey trends six weeks from the vote, with further shifts likely tied to coalition signals, turnout, and any late campaign developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRayssa Furlan 89%
Alliny Serrão 4.3%
Professor Uzian Pinto 3.1%
Lucas Barreto 2.9%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Rayssa Furlan
89%
Alliny Serrão
4%
Professor Uzian Pinto
3%
Lucas Barreto
3%
Randolfe
3%
Helio Silva
2%
Acácio Favacho
1%
Juíza Jô
1%
Capi
1%
Rayssa Furlan 89%
Alliny Serrão 4.3%
Professor Uzian Pinto 3.1%
Lucas Barreto 2.9%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Rayssa Furlan
$3,582 Vol.
89%
Alliny Serrão
$154 Vol.
4%
Professor Uzian Pinto
$154 Vol.
3%
Lucas Barreto
$154 Vol.
3%
Randolfe
$154 Vol.
3%
Helio Silva
$149 Vol.
2%
Acácio Favacho
$154 Vol.
1%
Juíza Jô
$240 Vol.
1%
Capi
$269 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds a commanding lead in Amapá’s October 4, 2026 Senate race for first place, backed by recent July–August polling showing her well ahead of the field at roughly 40–50% support. Her candidacy benefits from alignment with husband Dr. Furlan’s gubernatorial bid on the PSD ticket, leveraging regional family political networks and voter recognition in the state. The two seats are contested separately in Brazil’s system, with incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD) clustered for second amid shifting alliances and overlapping bases. Lower-polling entrants such as Alliny Serrão, Acácio Favacho, and Professor Uzian Pinto trail significantly. Trader consensus reflects these survey trends six weeks from the vote, with further shifts likely tied to coalition signals, turnout, and any late campaign developments.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Volume
$5,008End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds a commanding lead in Amapá’s October 4, 2026 Senate race for first place, backed by recent July–August polling showing her well ahead of the field at roughly 40–50% support. Her candidacy benefits from alignment with husband Dr. Furlan’s gubernatorial bid on the PSD ticket, leveraging regional family political networks and voter recognition in the state. The two seats are contested separately in Brazil’s system, with incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD) clustered for second amid shifting alliances and overlapping bases. Lower-polling entrants such as Alliny Serrão, Acácio Favacho, and Professor Uzian Pinto trail significantly. Trader consensus reflects these survey trends six weeks from the vote, with further shifts likely tied to coalition signals, turnout, and any late campaign developments.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$5,008End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds a commanding lead in Amapá’s October 4, 2026 Senate race for first place, backed by recent July–August polling showing her well ahead of the field at roughly 40–50% support. Her candidacy benefits from alignment with husband Dr. Furlan’s gubernatorial bid on the PSD ticket, leveraging regional family political networks and voter recognition in the state. The two seats are contested separately in Brazil’s system, with incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD) clustered for second amid shifting alliances and overlapping bases. Lower-polling entrants such as Alliny Serrão, Acácio Favacho, and Professor Uzian Pinto trail significantly. Trader consensus reflects these survey trends six weeks from the vote, with further shifts likely tied to coalition signals, turnout, and any late campaign developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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