Recent forecast models from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute highlight a northerly airflow and partly clear skies over Helsinki on August 26, supporting radiative cooling that could push the overnight low toward 11–13°C. This aligns with historical August averages near 12.4°C while leaving room for variability in model runs. Trader emphasis on 7°C or below at 39% implied probability reflects uncertainty in exact minimums amid shifting high-pressure systems, though most guidance points to 11–15°C outcomes. Upcoming model updates and real-time observations from Helsinki-Vantaa will likely refine these near-term probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on August 26?
7°C or below 78%
14°C 41%
17°C or higher 40%
12°C 29%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
7°C or below
78%
8°C
19%
9°C
21%
10°C
25%
11°C
27%
12°C
29%
13°C
21%
14°C
41%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
40%
7°C or below 78%
14°C 41%
17°C or higher 40%
12°C 29%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
7°C or below
$65 Vol.
78%
8°C
$0 Vol.
19%
9°C
$10 Vol.
21%
10°C
$6 Vol.
25%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
29%
13°C
$0 Vol.
21%
14°C
$135 Vol.
41%
15°C
$0 Vol.
1%
16°C
$70 Vol.
2%
17°C or higher
$5 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute highlight a northerly airflow and partly clear skies over Helsinki on August 26, supporting radiative cooling that could push the overnight low toward 11–13°C. This aligns with historical August averages near 12.4°C while leaving room for variability in model runs. Trader emphasis on 7°C or below at 39% implied probability reflects uncertainty in exact minimums amid shifting high-pressure systems, though most guidance points to 11–15°C outcomes. Upcoming model updates and real-time observations from Helsinki-Vantaa will likely refine these near-term probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$291End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute highlight a northerly airflow and partly clear skies over Helsinki on August 26, supporting radiative cooling that could push the overnight low toward 11–13°C. This aligns with historical August averages near 12.4°C while leaving room for variability in model runs. Trader emphasis on 7°C or below at 39% implied probability reflects uncertainty in exact minimums amid shifting high-pressure systems, though most guidance points to 11–15°C outcomes. Upcoming model updates and real-time observations from Helsinki-Vantaa will likely refine these near-term probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$291End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute highlight a northerly airflow and partly clear skies over Helsinki on August 26, supporting radiative cooling that could push the overnight low toward 11–13°C. This aligns with historical August averages near 12.4°C while leaving room for variability in model runs. Trader emphasis on 7°C or below at 39% implied probability reflects uncertainty in exact minimums amid shifting high-pressure systems, though most guidance points to 11–15°C outcomes. Upcoming model updates and real-time observations from Helsinki-Vantaa will likely refine these near-term probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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