Active southwest monsoon conditions, including a low-pressure system and the monsoon trough, are driving widespread cloud cover and thundershowers over Lucknow on August 25, limiting solar insolation and suppressing daytime maximum temperatures. IMD forecasts indicate a generally cloudy sky with spells of rain or thundershowers, with maximum temperatures projected near 32–34°C and recent observations showing 34–35°C under partly cloudy conditions. High humidity (around 80–90%) and easterly winds further moderate peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced surface heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C because small variations in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or thunderstorm intensity can shift the daily high by 1–2°C within this narrow range, consistent with typical August variability during active monsoon phases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 25?
31°C 32%
30°C 26%
32°C 24%
33°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
26%
31°C
32%
32°C
24%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 32%
30°C 26%
32°C 24%
33°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
26%
31°C
32%
32°C
24%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon conditions, including a low-pressure system and the monsoon trough, are driving widespread cloud cover and thundershowers over Lucknow on August 25, limiting solar insolation and suppressing daytime maximum temperatures. IMD forecasts indicate a generally cloudy sky with spells of rain or thundershowers, with maximum temperatures projected near 32–34°C and recent observations showing 34–35°C under partly cloudy conditions. High humidity (around 80–90%) and easterly winds further moderate peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced surface heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C because small variations in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or thunderstorm intensity can shift the daily high by 1–2°C within this narrow range, consistent with typical August variability during active monsoon phases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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