Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS data point to a maximum of 31–32°C for Karachi on August 25, creating tight market-implied odds between 32°C and 33°C. Afternoon sea breezes from the Arabian Sea typically moderate peak heat while high humidity and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in exact highs. Westerly winds and low precipitation chances support stable conditions near seasonal averages, though minor shifts in timing or intensity of these flows could tip the daily maximum across the 32–33°C threshold. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical August patterns for the coastal city.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 25?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 25?
33°C 46%
32°C 42%
31°C 5%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
42%
33°C
46%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 46%
32°C 42%
31°C 5%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$79 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$79 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$563 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$388 Vol.
1%
30°C
$435 Vol.
1%
31°C
$2,168 Vol.
5%
32°C
$2,052 Vol.
42%
33°C
$1,742 Vol.
46%
34°C
$902 Vol.
5%
35°C
$242 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$219 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS data point to a maximum of 31–32°C for Karachi on August 25, creating tight market-implied odds between 32°C and 33°C. Afternoon sea breezes from the Arabian Sea typically moderate peak heat while high humidity and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in exact highs. Westerly winds and low precipitation chances support stable conditions near seasonal averages, though minor shifts in timing or intensity of these flows could tip the daily maximum across the 32–33°C threshold. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical August patterns for the coastal city.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$8,868End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS data point to a maximum of 31–32°C for Karachi on August 25, creating tight market-implied odds between 32°C and 33°C. Afternoon sea breezes from the Arabian Sea typically moderate peak heat while high humidity and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in exact highs. Westerly winds and low precipitation chances support stable conditions near seasonal averages, though minor shifts in timing or intensity of these flows could tip the daily maximum across the 32–33°C threshold. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical August patterns for the coastal city.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,868End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS data point to a maximum of 31–32°C for Karachi on August 25, creating tight market-implied odds between 32°C and 33°C. Afternoon sea breezes from the Arabian Sea typically moderate peak heat while high humidity and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in exact highs. Westerly winds and low precipitation chances support stable conditions near seasonal averages, though minor shifts in timing or intensity of these flows could tip the daily maximum across the 32–33°C threshold. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical August patterns for the coastal city.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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