Persistent monsoon trough activity and the nearby influence of Tropical Cyclone Purple Sand are driving widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southerly flow over Hong Kong on August 26, limiting surface heating and keeping official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts centered on a maximum of 29–31 °C. High boundary-layer humidity and frequent convective showers further cap afternoon peaks by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing insolation, with ensemble guidance showing only modest spread around these values. The near-even market split between 30 °C and 31 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of rain bands, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C depending on whether clearer intervals allow brief warming before renewed convection. Resolution will hinge on the Hong Kong Observatory’s verified daily maximum recorded at the King’s Park or Observatory headquarters stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
31°C 33%
30°C 32%
32°C 19%
29°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
32%
31°C
33%
32°C
19%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 33%
30°C 32%
32°C 19%
29°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
24°C or below
$234 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$509 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$179 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$524 Vol.
3%
29°C
$2,845 Vol.
10%
30°C
$323 Vol.
32%
31°C
$356 Vol.
33%
32°C
$144 Vol.
19%
33°C
$213 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$288 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent monsoon trough activity and the nearby influence of Tropical Cyclone Purple Sand are driving widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southerly flow over Hong Kong on August 26, limiting surface heating and keeping official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts centered on a maximum of 29–31 °C. High boundary-layer humidity and frequent convective showers further cap afternoon peaks by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing insolation, with ensemble guidance showing only modest spread around these values. The near-even market split between 30 °C and 31 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of rain bands, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C depending on whether clearer intervals allow brief warming before renewed convection. Resolution will hinge on the Hong Kong Observatory’s verified daily maximum recorded at the King’s Park or Observatory headquarters stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,854End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent monsoon trough activity and the nearby influence of Tropical Cyclone Purple Sand are driving widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southerly flow over Hong Kong on August 26, limiting surface heating and keeping official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts centered on a maximum of 29–31 °C. High boundary-layer humidity and frequent convective showers further cap afternoon peaks by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing insolation, with ensemble guidance showing only modest spread around these values. The near-even market split between 30 °C and 31 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of rain bands, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C depending on whether clearer intervals allow brief warming before renewed convection. Resolution will hinge on the Hong Kong Observatory’s verified daily maximum recorded at the King’s Park or Observatory headquarters stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,854End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon trough activity and the nearby influence of Tropical Cyclone Purple Sand are driving widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southerly flow over Hong Kong on August 26, limiting surface heating and keeping official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts centered on a maximum of 29–31 °C. High boundary-layer humidity and frequent convective showers further cap afternoon peaks by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing insolation, with ensemble guidance showing only modest spread around these values. The near-even market split between 30 °C and 31 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of rain bands, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C depending on whether clearer intervals allow brief warming before renewed convection. Resolution will hinge on the Hong Kong Observatory’s verified daily maximum recorded at the King’s Park or Observatory headquarters stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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